Venezuela Primera División · Full time ·Clausura - 11

Deportivo La Guaira vs Deportivo Tachira FC

2 – 4 Full time

7′R. Pollero
22′C. Sosa
35′J. Castellanos
42′R. Pollero
43′A. Uribe
46′A. UribeJ. Meza
46′M. OrihuelaM. Villero
46′J. PerdomoM. Gonzalez
46′R. IbarraJ. Correa
58′J. Herrera
65′J. Meza
68′F. Londono
69′R. PolleroV. Adamo
71′J. SanchezL. Lusnig
71′J. CaraballoO. Hernandez
72′L. ZunigaA. Penaranda
73′D. Alfonzo
74′A. Perez
78′A. Woiski
81′A. WoiskiH. Ramirez
88′N. HernandezL. Martinez
90′G. Ortiz

Estadio Brigido Iriarte, CaracasReferee: A. Herrera

Deportivo La Guaira 41%
Draw 26%
Deportivo Tachira FC 33%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Deportivo La Guaira vs Deportivo Tachira FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo La Guaira vs Deportivo Tachira FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDeportivo La GuairaDrawDeportivo Tachira FC
Model40.8%26.0%33.1%
Market———
Final40.8%26.0%33.1%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Deportivo La G ↓ / Deportivo Tach → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 12% 8% 2 6% 9% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 59%
No goals 6%

Deportivo La Guaira and Deportivo Tachira FC expected goals

Deportivo La Guaira 1.63
Deportivo Tachira FC 1.45

Total expected goals: 3.07

Deportivo La Guaira and Deportivo Tachira FC attack and defence ratings

Deportivo La Guaira

Attack 1.18 +18%
Defence 1.05 +5%

Deportivo Tachira FC

Attack 1.29 +29%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Deportivo La Guaira vs Deportivo Tachira FC: result vs prediction

Deportivo La Guaira 2 – 4 Deportivo Tachira FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 11 fixtures

Venezuela Primera División

Before and after this match

Deportivo La Guaira vs Deportivo Tachira FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Deportivo La Guaira 40.8% 2.45 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59.3% 1.69 — —
Both teams to score Yes 62.5% 1.60 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.0% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.2% 1.69 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Deportivo La Guaira40.8%
Draw26.0%
Deportivo Tachira FC33.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559.3%
Under 2.540.7%
Both teams to scoreYes62.5%
No37.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.9%
12 (either side)74.0%
X2 (draw or away)59.2%
Handicap -1Deportivo La Guaira win21.3%
Push (exactly one goal)19.5%
Loss59.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.0%
2-18.8%
1-27.9%

Deportivo La Guaira vs Deportivo Tachira FC stats

Deportivo La Guaira and Deportivo Tachira FC recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Deportivo La Guaira and Deportivo Tachira FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Deportivo La Guaira record

  • They have won 13 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 12 clean sheets in 29 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 29 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).

Deportivo Tachira FC record

  • They have won 15 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Deportivo La Guaira vs Deportivo Tachira FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Deportivo La Guaira wins 4Draws 3Deportivo Tachira FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-10Deportivo Tachira FCDeportivo La GuairaVenezuela Primera División2-3
2025-08-17Deportivo La GuairaDeportivo Tachira FCVenezuela Primera División3-1
2025-03-22Deportivo Tachira FCDeportivo La GuairaSupercopa1-1
2025-03-09Deportivo Tachira FCDeportivo La GuairaVenezuela Primera División2-1
2024-10-19Deportivo Tachira FCDeportivo La GuairaPrimera División1-0
2024-04-20Deportivo La GuairaDeportivo Tachira FCPrimera División1-0
2023-06-25Deportivo Tachira FCDeportivo La GuairaPrimera División2-0
2023-05-20Deportivo La GuairaDeportivo Tachira FCPrimera División0-0
2022-07-22Deportivo La GuairaDeportivo Tachira FCPrimera División0-0
2022-04-29Deportivo Tachira FCDeportivo La GuairaPrimera División3-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Deportivo La Guaira vs Deportivo Tachira FC odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.