Venezuela Primera División · Full time ·Clausura - 11

Rayo Zuliano vs Monagas SC

1 – 1 Full time

17′F. Jaramillo
45′F. Basante
46′J. MarquezJ. Julio
46′F. ChavezJ. Velez
46′J. SanchezC. Maldonado
50′S. Garces
57′D. A. Vasquez Ferrer
59′S. AsibeL. Gonzalez
61′J. Colorado
61′S. GarcesJ. Moran
63′T. Riveros
66′J. ColoradoS. Natera
66′R. AraceE. Carrion
74′W. BustamanteF. Diaz
76′R. RodriguezE. Farias
77′F. BasanteC. Ramirez
90′F. Diaz

Estadio José Pachencho Romero, MaracaiboReferee: Y. Herrera

Rayo Zuliano 32%
Draw 27%
Monagas SC 41%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Rayo Zuliano vs Monagas SC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Rayo Zuliano vs Monagas SC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRayo ZulianoDrawMonagas SC
Model41.8%24.1%34.1%
Market28.9%28.2%42.9%
Final32.1%27.2%40.7%
Edge+13.0%-4.1%-8.8%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Rayo Zuliano ↓ / Monagas SC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 10% 8% 2 5% 9% 7% 3 5% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 68%
No goals 4%

Rayo Zuliano and Monagas SC expected goals

Rayo Zuliano 1.84
Monagas SC 1.65

Total expected goals: 3.49

Rayo Zuliano and Monagas SC attack and defence ratings

Rayo Zuliano

Attack 1.45 +45%
Defence 1.57 +57%

Monagas SC

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Rayo Zuliano vs Monagas SC: result vs prediction

Rayo Zuliano 1 – 1 Monagas SC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 11 fixtures

Venezuela Primera División

Before and after this match

Rayo Zuliano vs Monagas SC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Monagas SC 40.7% 2.46 -8.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 67.8% 1.48 — —
Both teams to score Yes 68.9% 1.45 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.8% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 65.9% 1.52 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Rayo Zuliano32.1%
Draw27.2%
Monagas SC40.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.567.8%
Under 2.532.2%
Both teams to scoreYes68.9%
No31.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)59.3%
12 (either side)72.8%
X2 (draw or away)67.9%
Handicap -1Monagas SC win17.3%
Push (exactly one goal)16.8%
Loss65.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.2%
2-18.5%
1-27.6%

Rayo Zuliano vs Monagas SC stats

Rayo Zuliano and Monagas SC recent form

newest first
Rayo Zuliano WWDLWL
Monagas SC WWLWLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Rayo Zuliano and Monagas SC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Rayo Zuliano record

  • They have won 7 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 23 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Monagas SC record

  • They have won 7 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 23 matches.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Rayo Zuliano vs Monagas SC head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

3Rayo Zuliano wins 0Draws 4Monagas SC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-11Monagas SCRayo ZulianoVenezuela Primera División3-0
2025-09-20Rayo ZulianoMonagas SCVenezuela Primera División3-1
2025-04-10Monagas SCRayo ZulianoVenezuela Primera División3-2
2024-09-04Rayo ZulianoMonagas SCPrimera División1-2
2024-03-17Monagas SCRayo ZulianoPrimera División2-1
2023-07-02Monagas SCRayo ZulianoPrimera División1-3
2023-05-13Rayo ZulianoMonagas SCPrimera División1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Rayo Zuliano vs Monagas SC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 28.9%, draw 28.2%, away 42.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.16 3.18 2.09
Bet365 3.10 3.20 2.05
BetVictor 3.13 3.40 2.10
Marathonbet 3.08 3.18 2.07
Pinnacle 3.15 3.28 2.13
William Hill 3.10 3.10 2.25

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.