Venezuela Primera División
·
Full time
·Clausura - 11
UCV
vs
Carabobo FC
1 – 1 Full time
| 21′ | B. Castillo | ||
| 23′ | W. Lugo | ||
| 31′ | J. Perez | ||
| 31′ | J. Zapata | ||
| 38′ | M. Silva | ||
| 45′ | A. Gonzalez | ||
| 46′ | W. LugoM. Ruiz | ||
| 46′ | J. AlegriaJ. Araujo | ||
| 50′ | Y. CumanaD. Carrillo | ||
| 53′ | E. Castillo | ||
| 59′ | B. CastilloY. Orozco | ||
| 71′ | D. MachisD. Meza | ||
| 71′ | E. CastilloM. Nunez | ||
| 77′ | A. GonzalezR. Sarli | ||
| 80′ | M. Ruiz | ||
| 82′ | J. Zapata | ||
| 85′ | F. Sole | ||
| 85′ | D. De SousaV. Rodriguez | ||
| 88′ | V. Rodriguez | ||
| 88′ | K. Silva | ||
| 88′ | A. Gonzalez | ||
| 89′ | M. CovaL. Martinez | ||
| 89′ | J. BeriosS. Mendoza | ||
| 90′ | E. Neira |
UCV
29%
Draw
31%
Carabobo FC
40%
UCV vs Carabobo FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: UCV vs Carabobo FC
| Probability | UCV | Draw | Carabobo FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.4% | 32.8% | 37.8% |
| Market | 29.2% | 30.6% | 40.3% |
| Final | 29.2% | 31.1% | 39.6% |
| Edge | +0.2% | +2.2% | -2.4% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
86%
2+ goals
62%
3+ goals
34%
No goals
14%
UCV and Carabobo FC expected goals
UCV
0.95
Carabobo FC
1.11
Total expected goals: 2.07
UCV and Carabobo FC attack and defence ratings
UCV
Attack
0.99 -1%
Defence
0.96 -4%
Carabobo FC
Attack
1.08 +8%
Defence
0.70 -30%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
UCV vs Carabobo FC: result vs prediction
UCV 1 – 1 Carabobo FC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Clausura - 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
UCV vs Carabobo FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Carabobo FC | 39.6% | 2.52 | -2.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | UCV | 29.2% |
| Draw | 31.1% | |
| Carabobo FC | 39.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 65.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.6% |
| No | 57.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 60.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Carabobo FC win | 16.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 62.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | 14.0% | |
| 0-1 | 12.8% |
UCV vs Carabobo FC stats
UCV and Carabobo FC recent form
| UCV |
WWDDWL |
| Carabobo FC |
WWWLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
UCV and Carabobo FC going into this match
UCV record
- They have won 12 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Carabobo FC record
- They have won 13 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 14 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 30 matches.
- They have converted 8 of 8 penalties (100%).
UCV vs Carabobo FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3UCV wins
4Draws
3Carabobo FC wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Carabobo FC | UCV | Venezuela Primera División | 4-2 |
| 2025-12-06 | Carabobo FC | UCV | Venezuela Primera División | 0-2 |
| 2025-11-30 | UCV | Carabobo FC | Venezuela Primera División | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-08 | Carabobo FC | UCV | Copa Venezuela | 0-0 |
| 2025-10-01 | UCV | Carabobo FC | Copa Venezuela | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-23 | Carabobo FC | UCV | Venezuela Primera División | 4-1 |
| 2025-03-16 | UCV | Carabobo FC | Venezuela Primera División | 1-1 |
| 2024-08-29 | UCV | Carabobo FC | Primera División | 3-1 |
| 2024-03-09 | Carabobo FC | UCV | Primera División | 0-1 |
| 2023-07-07 | Carabobo FC | UCV | Primera División | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
UCV vs Carabobo FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 29.2%, draw 30.6%, away 40.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.10 | 2.94 | 2.24 |
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 3.00 | 2.15 |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.20 | 2.25 |
| Marathonbet | 3.02 | 2.93 | 2.22 |
| Pinnacle | 3.13 | 2.97 | 2.30 |
| William Hill | 3.10 | 2.90 | 2.30 |