Venezuela Primera División
·
Full time
·Clausura - 10
UCV
vs
Anzoátegui FC
1 – 0 Full time
| 18′ | E. Mosquera | ||
| 32′ | D. Guevara | ||
| 45′ | P. Bonilla | ||
| 52′ | E. Ruiz | ||
| 58′ | E. RuizL. Fioravanti | ||
| 58′ | J. AraujoW. Lugo | ||
| 61′ | C. Barrios | ||
| 65′ | M. Zuleta | ||
| 68′ | W. Lugo | ||
| 69′ | C. BarriosP. Perez | ||
| 78′ | S. J. Pabon DelgaoE. Peraza | ||
| 78′ | Y. CumanaC. Flores | ||
| 79′ | J. PachecoP. Rojas | ||
| 79′ | J. CaraballoA. Contreras | ||
| 87′ | E. MosqueraV. Rodriguez | ||
| 90′ | W. Lugo |
UCV
59%
Draw
24%
Anzoátegui FC
17%
UCV vs Anzoátegui FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: UCV vs Anzoátegui FC
| Probability | UCV | Draw | Anzoátegui FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62.9% | 22.7% | 14.4% |
| Market | 57.2% | 24.5% | 18.3% |
| Final | 58.6% | 24.0% | 17.4% |
| Edge | +5.7% | -1.8% | -3.9% |
Why UCV
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.01 vs 0.87.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices UCV below the model: +5.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
79%
3+ goals
55%
No goals
7%
UCV and Anzoátegui FC expected goals
UCV
2.01
Anzoátegui FC
0.87
Total expected goals: 2.87
UCV and Anzoátegui FC attack and defence ratings
UCV
Attack
0.99 -1%
Defence
1.11 +11%
Anzoátegui FC
Attack
0.73 -27%
Defence
1.49 +49%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
UCV vs Anzoátegui FC: result vs prediction
UCV 1 – 0 Anzoátegui FC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Clausura - 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
UCV vs Anzoátegui FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | UCV | 58.6% | 1.71 | +5.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.6% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | UCV win | 39.4% | 2.54 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | UCV | 58.6% |
| Draw | 24.0% | |
| Anzoátegui FC | 17.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.1% |
| No | 48.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 41.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | UCV win | 39.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.5% | |
| Loss | 37.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.4% |
| 1-1 | 10.8% | |
| 1-0 | 10.4% |
UCV vs Anzoátegui FC stats
UCV and Anzoátegui FC recent form
| UCV |
WDDWLL |
| Anzoátegui FC |
LLLLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
UCV and Anzoátegui FC going into this match
UCV record
- They have won 11 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Anzoátegui FC record
- They have won 3 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 21 matches.
UCV vs Anzoátegui FC head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
3UCV wins
5Draws
1Anzoátegui FC wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | Anzoátegui FC | UCV | Venezuela Primera División | 2-3 |
| 2025-08-27 | UCV | Anzoátegui FC | Copa Venezuela | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-19 | Anzoátegui FC | UCV | Copa Venezuela | 2-4 |
| 2025-07-06 | Anzoátegui FC | UCV | Venezuela Primera División | 0-2 |
| 2025-06-08 | UCV | Anzoátegui FC | Venezuela Primera División | 2-2 |
| 2025-05-04 | Anzoátegui FC | UCV | Venezuela Primera División | 4-4 |
| 2025-01-25 | UCV | Anzoátegui FC | Venezuela Primera División | 1-1 |
| 2024-06-30 | UCV | Anzoátegui FC | Copa Venezuela | 0-0 |
| 2024-06-13 | Anzoátegui FC | UCV | Copa Venezuela | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
UCV vs Anzoátegui FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 57.2%, draw 24.5%, away 18.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.57 | 3.64 | 5.07 |
| Bet365 | 1.55 | 3.75 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.57 | 3.90 | 5.00 |
| Betano | 1.67 | 3.65 | 4.65 |
| Betfair | 1.60 | 3.80 | 4.75 |
| Marathonbet | 1.55 | 3.64 | 4.95 |
| Pinnacle | 1.60 | 3.77 | 4.94 |
| William Hill | 1.65 | 3.50 | 5.00 |