Venezuela Primera División · Full time ·Clausura - 11

Anzoátegui FC vs Caracas FC

1 – 1 Full time

22′J. Caraballo
45′D. Bueno
45′M. Marquez
46′E. BarriosE. E. Fereira Penaranda
46′C. LujanoL. Fioravanti
46′J. SilgadoL. Villarroel
63′C. Cermeno
65′M. Zuleta
66′M. MarquezS. Gonzalez
66′A. VillarrealC. A. Martinez Aponte
66′M. VegasW. Correa
70′J. CaraballoP. Rojas
70′J. LoveraG. Marin
70′C. BarriosA. Velasco
83′L. Fioravanti
83′J. De Santis
83′J. YendisN. Vaquer

Referee: C. Marabay

Anzoátegui FC 29%
Draw 29%
Caracas FC 43%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Anzoátegui FC vs Caracas FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Anzoátegui FC vs Caracas FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAnzoátegui FCDrawCaracas FC
Model33.9%32.3%33.8%
Market26.7%27.8%45.5%
Final28.5%28.9%42.6%
Edge+7.2%+4.6%-11.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Caracas FC

  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Anzoátegui FC ↓ / Caracas FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 11% 1 11% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 64%
3+ goals 36%
No goals 13%

Anzoátegui FC and Caracas FC expected goals

Anzoátegui FC 1.07
Caracas FC 1.07

Total expected goals: 2.14

Anzoátegui FC and Caracas FC attack and defence ratings

Anzoátegui FC

Attack 0.67 -33%
Defence 1.41 +41%

Caracas FC

Attack 0.70 -30%
Defence 1.15 +15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Anzoátegui FC vs Caracas FC: result vs prediction

Anzoátegui FC 1 – 1 Caracas FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 11 fixtures

Venezuela Primera División

Before and after this match

Anzoátegui FC vs Caracas FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Caracas FC 42.6% 2.35 -11.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 64.0% 1.56 — —
Both teams to score No 55.6% 1.80 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 71.5% 1.40 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 66.2% 1.51 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Anzoátegui FC28.5%
Draw28.9%
Caracas FC42.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.536.0%
Under 2.564.0%
Both teams to scoreYes44.4%
No55.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)57.4%
12 (either side)71.1%
X2 (draw or away)71.5%
Handicap -1Caracas FC win13.8%
Push (exactly one goal)19.9%
Loss66.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.8%
0-013.1%
1-011.3%

Anzoátegui FC vs Caracas FC stats

Anzoátegui FC and Caracas FC recent form

newest first
Anzoátegui FC LLLLLD
Caracas FC LLWDDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Anzoátegui FC and Caracas FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Anzoátegui FC record

  • They have won 3 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 22 matches.

Caracas FC record

  • They have won 5 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 23 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Anzoátegui FC vs Caracas FC head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

1Anzoátegui FC wins 0Draws 2Caracas FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-12Caracas FCAnzoátegui FCVenezuela Primera División1-3
2025-07-19Anzoátegui FCCaracas FCVenezuela Primera División0-1
2025-02-09Caracas FCAnzoátegui FCVenezuela Primera División1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Anzoátegui FC vs Caracas FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 26.7%, draw 27.8%, away 45.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.41 3.14 2.01
Bet365 3.25 3.30 1.95
BetVictor 3.50 3.30 2.00
Betano 3.45 3.35 2.00
Betfair 3.30 3.30 1.95
Marathonbet 3.32 3.14 1.99
Pinnacle 3.44 3.24 2.03
William Hill 3.40 3.25 2.05

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.41 ▲ +0.43
X 3.27 ▲ +0.19
2 2.00 ▼ -0.20

3 snapshots recorded, from .