Anzoátegui FC
vs
Carabobo FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Carabobo FC
0 – 1 Predicted score · 15% model probability
Anzoátegui FC vs Carabobo FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Anzoátegui FC vs Carabobo FC
| Probability | Anzoátegui FC | Draw | Carabobo FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 15.9% | 27.8% | 56.3% |
| Market | 18.8% | 24.6% | 56.6% |
| Final | 18.1% | 25.4% | 56.5% |
| Edge | -2.9% | +3.2% | -0.3% |
Why Carabobo FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 0.71.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.70, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Anzoátegui FC vs Carabobo FC match preview
Anzoátegui FC faces Carabobo FC in the Venezuela Primera División on October 11, 2026. The model suggests a challenging match for Anzoátegui FC, assigning them a 16% chance of victory, while Carabobo FC holds a 56% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 0-1 in favor of Carabobo FC, with an expected goals tally of 0.71 for Anzoátegui FC and 1.55 for Carabobo FC.
Recent form indicates a struggle for Anzoátegui FC, who have recorded six consecutive matches without a win, while Carabobo FC has shown more resilience with two wins in their last three games. Head-to-head results favor Carabobo FC, who have won two of the last three encounters, with Anzoátegui FC yet to secure a win against them.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Anzoátegui FC and Carabobo FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.26
Anzoátegui FC and Carabobo FC attack and defence ratings
Anzoátegui FC
Carabobo FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Anzoátegui FC vs Carabobo FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Carabobo FC | 56.5% | 1.77 | -0.3% | 1.70 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 81.9% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Anzoátegui FC | 18.1% |
| Draw | 25.4% | |
| Carabobo FC | 56.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.3% |
| No | 58.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 43.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 81.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Carabobo FC win | 30.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.7% | |
| Loss | 43.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 15.0% |
| 1-1 | 12.6% | |
| 0-2 | 12.5% |
Anzoátegui FC vs Carabobo FC stats
Anzoátegui FC and Carabobo FC recent form
| Anzoátegui FC |
DLLLLL |
| Carabobo FC |
DWWWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Anzoátegui FC and Carabobo FC season so far
Anzoátegui FC record
- They have won 3 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 22 matches.
Carabobo FC record
- They have won 13 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 14 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 30 matches.
- They have converted 8 of 8 penalties (100%).
Anzoátegui FC vs Carabobo FC head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-20 | Carabobo FC | Anzoátegui FC | Venezuela Primera División | 6-3 |
| 2025-09-20 | Anzoátegui FC | Carabobo FC | Venezuela Primera División | 0-0 |
| 2025-04-13 | Carabobo FC | Anzoátegui FC | Venezuela Primera División | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Anzoátegui FC vs Carabobo FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 18.8%, draw 24.6%, away 56.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.97 | 3.60 | 1.59 |
| Bet365 | 4.75 | 3.60 | 1.60 |
| BetVictor | 5.00 | 3.80 | 1.62 |
| Betano | 4.85 | 3.70 | 1.62 |
| Betfair | 4.75 | 3.80 | 1.57 |
| Dafabet | 4.50 | 3.80 | 1.63 |
| Marathonbet | 4.85 | 3.60 | 1.57 |
| Pinnacle | 4.89 | 3.73 | 1.61 |
| William Hill | 4.75 | 3.50 | 1.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .