Venezuela Primera División · Full time ·Clausura - 12

Anzoátegui FC vs Carabobo FC

0 – 1 Full time

45′E. Ramirez
46′J. CaraballoD. Tegues
59′D. Guevara
61′D. MachisY. Orozco
66′E. RuizP. Rojas
66′G. MarinJ. Castellano
73′E. CastilloM. Nunez
73′L. MartinezB. Castillo
81′C. BarriosA. Velasco
85′J. PachecoA. Moreno
85′M. CovaF. Lopez
86′E. RamirezD. Meza

Referee: J. Valenzuela

Anzoátegui FC 18%
Draw 26%
Carabobo FC 57%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Anzoátegui FC vs Carabobo FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Anzoátegui FC vs Carabobo FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAnzoátegui FCDrawCarabobo FC
Model16.1%28.0%55.9%
Market18.4%24.9%56.7%
Final17.9%25.6%56.5%
Edge-0.6%+0.8%-0.2%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Carabobo FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.54 vs 0.72.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Anzoátegui FC ↓ / Carabobo FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 15% 12% 1 13% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 67%
3+ goals 39%
No goals 12%

Anzoátegui FC and Carabobo FC expected goals

Anzoátegui FC 0.72
Carabobo FC 1.54

Total expected goals: 2.26

Anzoátegui FC and Carabobo FC attack and defence ratings

Anzoátegui FC

Attack 0.71 -29%
Defence 1.37 +37%

Carabobo FC

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 0.73 -27%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Anzoátegui FC vs Carabobo FC: result vs prediction

Anzoátegui FC 0 – 1 Carabobo FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 12 fixtures

Venezuela Primera División

Before and after this match

Anzoátegui FC vs Carabobo FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Carabobo FC 56.5% 1.77 -0.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 60.8% 1.64 — —
Both teams to score No 58.7% 1.70 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 82.1% 1.22 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 44.1% 2.27 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Anzoátegui FC17.9%
Draw25.6%
Carabobo FC56.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539.2%
Under 2.560.8%
Both teams to scoreYes41.3%
No58.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)43.5%
12 (either side)74.4%
X2 (draw or away)82.1%
Handicap -1Carabobo FC win30.2%
Push (exactly one goal)25.7%
Loss44.1%
Correct score (top 3)0-115.0%
1-112.7%
0-212.4%

Anzoátegui FC vs Carabobo FC stats

Anzoátegui FC and Carabobo FC recent form

newest first
Anzoátegui FC DLLLLL
Carabobo FC DWWWLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Anzoátegui FC and Carabobo FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Anzoátegui FC record

  • They have won 3 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 23 matches.

Carabobo FC record

  • They have won 13 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 14 clean sheets in 31 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 31 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 8 of 8 penalties (100%).

Anzoátegui FC vs Carabobo FC head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

0Anzoátegui FC wins 1Draws 2Carabobo FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-20Carabobo FCAnzoátegui FCVenezuela Primera División6-3
2025-09-20Anzoátegui FCCarabobo FCVenezuela Primera División0-0
2025-04-13Carabobo FCAnzoátegui FCVenezuela Primera División1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Anzoátegui FC vs Carabobo FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 18.4%, draw 24.9%, away 56.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 5.12 3.62 1.57
Bet365 4.75 3.60 1.60
BetVictor 4.80 3.90 1.60
Betano 5.00 3.65 1.62
Betfair 4.75 3.80 1.57
Dafabet 4.70 3.90 1.64
Marathonbet 5.00 3.62 1.55
Pinnacle 4.92 3.78 1.60
William Hill 5.00 3.60 1.62

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.92 ▲ +0.72
X 3.65 ▲ +0.11
2 1.60 ▼ -0.10

10 snapshots recorded, from .