Portuguesa FC
vs
Deportivo La Guaira
Garuda Lions Prediction: Deportivo La Guaira
1 – 2 Predicted score · 7% model probability
Portuguesa FC vs Deportivo La Guaira overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Portuguesa FC vs Deportivo La Guaira
| Probability | Portuguesa FC | Draw | Deportivo La Guaira |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.2% | 24.5% | 25.4% |
| Market | 30.3% | 29.6% | 40.1% |
| Final | 35.3% | 28.3% | 36.4% |
| Edge | +19.8% | -5.1% | -14.7% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.45, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Portuguesa FC vs Deportivo La Guaira match preview
Portuguesa FC faces Deportivo La Guaira in a matchup where both teams have equal probabilities of winning, each at 36%, while a draw stands at 28%. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 1-2 in favor of Deportivo La Guaira, with an expected goals tally of 1.89 for Portuguesa FC and 1.30 for Deportivo La Guaira. The model also indicates a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% probability that both teams will score.
In terms of recent form, Portuguesa FC has recorded one win and three draws in their last six matches, while Deportivo La Guaira has struggled, with only one win in their last six games. Historically, in their last seven encounters, Portuguesa FC has yet to secure a victory, with Deportivo La Guaira winning four times and three matches ending in draws. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Portuguesa FC and Deportivo La Guaira expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.19
Portuguesa FC and Deportivo La Guaira attack and defence ratings
Portuguesa FC
Deportivo La Guaira
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Portuguesa FC vs Deportivo La Guaira markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo La Guaira | 36.4% | 2.75 | -14.7% | 2.45 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Portuguesa FC | 35.3% |
| Draw | 28.3% | |
| Deportivo La Guaira | 36.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.8% |
| No | 37.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo La Guaira win | 11.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 14.2% | |
| Loss | 74.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 2-0 | 7.3% |
Portuguesa FC vs Deportivo La Guaira stats
Portuguesa FC and Deportivo La Guaira recent form
| Portuguesa FC |
LWWDDD |
| Deportivo La Guaira |
LLLWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Portuguesa FC and Deportivo La Guaira season so far
Portuguesa FC record
- They have won 11 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 30 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Deportivo La Guaira record
- They have won 13 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
Portuguesa FC vs Deportivo La Guaira head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Portuguesa FC | Deportivo La Guaira | Venezuela Primera División | 0-2 |
| 2026-05-09 | Deportivo La Guaira | Portuguesa FC | Venezuela Primera División | 1-1 |
| 2026-04-20 | Deportivo La Guaira | Portuguesa FC | Venezuela Primera División | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-31 | Deportivo La Guaira | Portuguesa FC | Venezuela Primera División | 3-1 |
| 2025-06-09 | Deportivo La Guaira | Portuguesa FC | Venezuela Primera División | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-04 | Portuguesa FC | Deportivo La Guaira | Venezuela Primera División | 1-2 |
| 2025-03-31 | Portuguesa FC | Deportivo La Guaira | Venezuela Primera División | 1-3 |
| 2024-10-04 | Portuguesa FC | Deportivo La Guaira | Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2024-04-07 | Deportivo La Guaira | Portuguesa FC | Primera División | 0-2 |
| 2023-08-26 | Deportivo La Guaira | Portuguesa FC | Primera División | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Portuguesa FC vs Deportivo La Guaira odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 30.3%, draw 29.6%, away 40.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.03 | 2.99 | 2.25 |
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 3.00 | 2.45 |
| BetVictor | 2.90 | 3.20 | 2.38 |
| Betano | 3.05 | 3.15 | 2.25 |
| Betfair | 2.90 | 3.20 | 2.30 |
| Dafabet | 3.10 | 3.15 | 2.26 |
| Marathonbet | 2.95 | 2.99 | 2.23 |
| Pinnacle | 3.06 | 3.08 | 2.27 |
| William Hill | 3.00 | 2.90 | 2.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .