Deportivo Tachira FC
vs
UCV
Garuda Lions Prediction: Deportivo Tachira FC
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV
| Probability | Deportivo Tachira FC | Draw | UCV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.6% | 24.5% | 20.9% |
| Market | 55.0% | 25.7% | 19.3% |
| Final | 54.9% | 25.4% | 19.7% |
| Edge | -0.4% | -1.1% | +1.6% |
Why Deportivo Tachira FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.88 vs 1.10.
Best available price on the pick: 1.72, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV match preview
Deportivo Tachira FC enters the match against UCV with a 55% probability of winning, reflecting their strong recent form of two wins and a draw in their last three matches. The expected goals for Deportivo Tachira FC stand at 1.88, suggesting a solid offensive performance, while UCV's expected goals are lower at 1.10. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match is at 57%, and both teams scoring is rated at 58%.
Historically, in their last four encounters, Deportivo Tachira FC has secured two wins, with UCV winning once and one match ending in a draw. UCV is currently showing resilience with a recent form of three wins and three draws in their last six matches. The model indicates a most likely scoreline of 2-1 in favor of Deportivo Tachira FC, with a confidence grade of C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Deportivo Tachira FC and UCV expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.98
Deportivo Tachira FC and UCV attack and defence ratings
Deportivo Tachira FC
UCV
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 54.9% | 1.82 | -0.4% | 1.72 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.3% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.3% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.4% | 2.20 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 54.9% |
| Draw | 25.4% | |
| UCV | 19.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.6% |
| No | 42.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Tachira FC win | 32.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.4% | |
| Loss | 45.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.5% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.0% |
Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV stats
Deportivo Tachira FC and UCV recent form
| Deportivo Tachira FC |
WDLWWD |
| UCV |
DWWDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Deportivo Tachira FC and UCV season so far
Deportivo Tachira FC record
- They have won 16 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
UCV record
- They have won 12 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | UCV | Deportivo Tachira FC | Venezuela Primera División | 1-1 |
| 2025-07-19 | UCV | Deportivo Tachira FC | Venezuela Primera División | 1-2 |
| 2025-06-14 | UCV | Deportivo Tachira FC | Venezuela Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2025-02-08 | Deportivo Tachira FC | UCV | Venezuela Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2024-10-06 | Deportivo Tachira FC | UCV | Primera División | 2-0 |
| 2024-07-08 | UCV | Deportivo Tachira FC | Copa Venezuela | 2-0 |
| 2024-04-05 | UCV | Deportivo Tachira FC | Primera División | 2-0 |
| 2023-08-18 | UCV | Deportivo Tachira FC | Primera División | 1-2 |
| 2023-03-19 | Deportivo Tachira FC | UCV | Primera División | 1-1 |
| 2022-08-28 | Deportivo Tachira FC | UCV | Primera División | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 55.0%, draw 25.7%, away 19.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.62 | 3.50 | 4.88 |
| Bet365 | 1.60 | 3.50 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.65 | 3.70 | 4.80 |
| Betano | 1.72 | 3.60 | 4.30 |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 3.70 | 4.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.71 | 3.70 | 4.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.60 | 3.50 | 4.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.68 | 3.58 | 4.55 |
| William Hill | 1.70 | 3.40 | 4.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .