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Venezuela Primera División · Full time ·Clausura - 12

Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV

4 – 1 Full time

1′A. Recoba
22′G. Mottes
26′V. Adamo
30′D. De Sousa
43′G. Fratta
45′S. Sosa
47′L. Zuniga
56′V. Adamo
63′B. PalmezanoO. Hernandez
63′A. WoiskiH. Ramirez
63′L. ZunigaA. Penaranda
64′S. SosaJ. Araujo
64′Y. CumanaJ. Alegria
73′F. ProvenzanoC. Calzadilla
78′S. J. Pabon DelgaoJ. Colmenarez
79′V. AdamoR. Pollero
82′E. Mosquera
86′F. Sole
90′M. RuizK. Guzman
90′R. Pollero

Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo NuevoReferee: Y. Miranda

Deportivo Tachira FC 56%
Draw 25%
UCV 20%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDeportivo Tachira FCDrawUCV
Model54.6%24.5%20.9%
Market56.0%24.9%19.1%
Final55.7%24.8%19.6%
Edge-0.4%-0.1%+0.5%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Deportivo Tachira FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.89 vs 1.10.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Deportivo Tach ↓ / UCV → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 8% 12% 6% 2 9% 10% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 81%
3+ goals 57%
No goals 6%

Deportivo Tachira FC and UCV expected goals

Deportivo Tachira FC 1.89
UCV 1.10

Total expected goals: 2.99

Deportivo Tachira FC and UCV attack and defence ratings

Deportivo Tachira FC

Attack 1.47 +47%
Defence 1.05 +5%

UCV

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV: result vs prediction

Deportivo Tachira FC 4 – 1 UCV

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 12 fixtures

Venezuela Primera División

Before and after this match

Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Deportivo Tachira FC 55.7% 1.80 -0.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 57.3% 1.75 — —
Both teams to score Yes 57.6% 1.74 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 80.4% 1.24 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 45.4% 2.20 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Deportivo Tachira FC55.7%
Draw24.8%
UCV19.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.557.3%
Under 2.542.7%
Both teams to scoreYes57.6%
No42.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)80.4%
12 (either side)75.2%
X2 (draw or away)44.3%
Handicap -1Deportivo Tachira FC win32.2%
Push (exactly one goal)22.4%
Loss45.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.5%
2-19.9%
2-09.0%

Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV stats

Deportivo Tachira FC and UCV recent form

newest first
Deportivo Tachira FC WDLWWD
UCV DWWDDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Deportivo Tachira FC and UCV going into this match

league record before kick-off

Deportivo Tachira FC record

  • They have won 16 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 29 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 29 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

UCV record

  • They have won 12 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 30 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 30 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Deportivo Tachira FC wins 3Draws 3UCV wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-19UCVDeportivo Tachira FCVenezuela Primera División1-1
2025-07-19UCVDeportivo Tachira FCVenezuela Primera División1-2
2025-06-14UCVDeportivo Tachira FCVenezuela Primera División1-0
2025-02-08Deportivo Tachira FCUCVVenezuela Primera División1-0
2024-10-06Deportivo Tachira FCUCVPrimera División2-0
2024-07-08UCVDeportivo Tachira FCCopa Venezuela2-0
2024-04-05UCVDeportivo Tachira FCPrimera División2-0
2023-08-18UCVDeportivo Tachira FCPrimera División1-2
2023-03-19Deportivo Tachira FCUCVPrimera División1-1
2022-08-28Deportivo Tachira FCUCVPrimera División0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 56.0%, draw 24.9%, away 19.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.62 3.52 4.82
Bet365 1.62 3.50 4.75
BetVictor 1.62 3.80 4.80
Betano 1.70 3.65 4.45
Betfair 1.60 3.80 4.75
Dafabet 1.67 3.75 4.70
Marathonbet 1.60 3.52 4.70
Pinnacle 1.62 3.68 4.92
William Hill 1.67 3.50 4.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.62 ▲ +0.02
X 3.65 ▲ +0.02
2 4.75 ▼ -0.25

10 snapshots recorded, from .