Venezuela Primera División · Full time ·Clausura - 12

Trujillanos FC vs Puerto Cabello

0 – 1 Full time

57′L. MosqueraE. Abreu
57′D. LinarezJ. Paredes
59′R. D. Flores Barrios
61′R. D. Flores Barrios
69′M. Granados
70′G. Gonzalez
70′E. PerniaD. Osorio
71′D. SaggiomoJ. Hernandez
76′J. CastilloJ. Ortuno
77′G. GonzalezJ. Moreno
82′J. Paredes
83′F. GonzalezJ. Echeverria
83′M. GonzalezJ. Mendez
85′A. AraujoJ. Carmona
87′H. ContrerasP. Lima

Estadio Jose Alberto Perez, ValeraReferee: C. Marabay

Trujillanos FC 20%
Draw 26%
Puerto Cabello 53%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Trujillanos FC vs Puerto Cabello overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Trujillanos FC vs Puerto Cabello

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTrujillanos FCDrawPuerto Cabello
Model23.1%27.1%49.8%
Market19.2%26.3%54.6%
Final20.2%26.5%53.4%
Edge+1.0%+0.2%-1.2%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Puerto Cabello

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 1.04.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Trujillanos FC ↓ / Puerto Cabello → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 10% 9% 1 13% 10% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 8%

Trujillanos FC and Puerto Cabello expected goals

Trujillanos FC 1.04
Puerto Cabello 1.63

Total expected goals: 2.67

Trujillanos FC and Puerto Cabello attack and defence ratings

Trujillanos FC

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 1.47 +47%

Puerto Cabello

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 0.78 -22%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Trujillanos FC vs Puerto Cabello: result vs prediction

Trujillanos FC 0 – 1 Puerto Cabello

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 12 fixtures

Venezuela Primera División

Before and after this match

Trujillanos FC vs Puerto Cabello markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Puerto Cabello 53.4% 1.87 -1.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 50.2% 1.99 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.1% 1.88 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 79.8% 1.25 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.2% 1.99 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Trujillanos FC20.2%
Draw26.5%
Puerto Cabello53.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.549.8%
Under 2.550.2%
Both teams to scoreYes53.1%
No46.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)46.6%
12 (either side)73.5%
X2 (draw or away)79.8%
Handicap -1Puerto Cabello win27.0%
Push (exactly one goal)22.8%
Loss50.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.9%
0-110.1%
1-29.6%

Trujillanos FC vs Puerto Cabello stats

Trujillanos FC and Puerto Cabello recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Trujillanos FC and Puerto Cabello going into this match

league record before kick-off

Trujillanos FC record

  • They have won 3 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 10 of 24 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Puerto Cabello record

  • They have won 12 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 31 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 31 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Trujillanos FC vs Puerto Cabello head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

2Trujillanos FC wins 3Draws 2Puerto Cabello wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-21Puerto CabelloTrujillanos FCVenezuela Primera División3-1
2020-12-09Trujillanos FCPuerto CabelloPrimera División0-4
2020-11-09Puerto CabelloTrujillanos FCPrimera División1-3
2019-08-11Trujillanos FCPuerto CabelloPrimera División2-0
2019-02-10Puerto CabelloTrujillanos FCPrimera División1-1
2018-08-05Puerto CabelloTrujillanos FCPrimera División1-1
2018-02-12Trujillanos FCPuerto CabelloPrimera División0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Trujillanos FC vs Puerto Cabello odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 19.2%, draw 26.3%, away 54.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 4.78 3.38 1.66
Bet365 4.75 3.40 1.65
BetVictor 4.75 3.60 1.67
Betano 4.40 3.50 1.72
Betfair 4.75 3.60 1.62
Dafabet 4.50 3.60 1.72
Marathonbet 4.65 3.38 1.64
Pinnacle 4.70 3.47 1.69
William Hill 4.80 3.30 1.73

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.75 ▲ +0.32
X 3.47 ▲ +0.20
2 1.67 ▼ -0.07

12 snapshots recorded, from .