Trujillanos FC
vs
Puerto Cabello
Garuda Lions Prediction: Puerto Cabello
0 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Trujillanos FC vs Puerto Cabello overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Trujillanos FC vs Puerto Cabello
| Probability | Trujillanos FC | Draw | Puerto Cabello |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.8% | 27.0% | 50.3% |
| Market | 19.9% | 26.3% | 53.8% |
| Final | 20.6% | 26.5% | 52.9% |
| Edge | +2.9% | +0.6% | -3.5% |
Why Puerto Cabello
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.64 vs 1.04.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.78, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Trujillanos FC vs Puerto Cabello match preview
Trujillanos FC faces Puerto Cabello in a Venezuela Primera División matchup on October 11, 2026. The model indicates a 23% probability of a Trujillanos FC victory, while Puerto Cabello holds a 50% chance of winning, with a draw at 27%. The expected goals suggest Trujillanos FC will score 1.04, compared to Puerto Cabello's 1.64. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 10%.
In terms of recent form, Trujillanos FC has struggled with a record of D-L-L-W-L-L, while Puerto Cabello has shown more resilience with W-D-L-D-D-W. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match stands at 50%, and both teams scoring is at 53%. In their last encounter, Puerto Cabello secured a win against Trujillanos FC, who have yet to claim a victory in this head-to-head.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Trujillanos FC and Puerto Cabello expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.67
Trujillanos FC and Puerto Cabello attack and defence ratings
Trujillanos FC
Puerto Cabello
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Trujillanos FC vs Puerto Cabello markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Puerto Cabello | 52.9% | 1.89 | -3.5% | 1.78 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Trujillanos FC | 20.6% |
| Draw | 26.5% | |
| Puerto Cabello | 52.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.1% |
| No | 46.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 47.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 79.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Puerto Cabello win | 27.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.8% | |
| Loss | 49.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 0-1 | 10.1% | |
| 1-2 | 9.6% |
Trujillanos FC vs Puerto Cabello stats
Trujillanos FC and Puerto Cabello recent form
| Trujillanos FC |
DLLWLL |
| Puerto Cabello |
WDLDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Trujillanos FC and Puerto Cabello season so far
Trujillanos FC record
- They have won 3 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 24 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Puerto Cabello record
- They have won 11 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Trujillanos FC vs Puerto Cabello head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-21 | Puerto Cabello | Trujillanos FC | Venezuela Primera División | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Trujillanos FC vs Puerto Cabello odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 19.9%, draw 26.3%, away 53.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.78 | 3.38 | 1.66 |
| Bet365 | 4.75 | 3.40 | 1.65 |
| BetVictor | 4.60 | 3.60 | 1.70 |
| Betano | 4.10 | 3.55 | 1.78 |
| Betfair | 4.60 | 3.60 | 1.65 |
| Dafabet | 4.30 | 3.50 | 1.72 |
| Marathonbet | 4.65 | 3.38 | 1.64 |
| Pinnacle | 4.56 | 3.47 | 1.71 |
| William Hill | 4.60 | 3.30 | 1.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .