Metropolitanos FC
vs
Rayo Zuliano
Garuda Lions Prediction: Metropolitanos FC
3 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Metropolitanos FC vs Rayo Zuliano overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Metropolitanos FC vs Rayo Zuliano
| Probability | Metropolitanos FC | Draw | Rayo Zuliano |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 75.8% | 14.1% | 10.1% |
| Market | 68.4% | 19.8% | 11.8% |
| Final | 70.2% | 18.4% | 11.4% |
| Edge | +7.4% | -5.7% | -1.7% |
Why Metropolitanos FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.14 vs 1.16.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices Metropolitanos FC below the model: +7.4 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 1.38, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Metropolitanos FC vs Rayo Zuliano match preview
Metropolitanos FC enters this match against Rayo Zuliano with a strong probability of victory at 76%, reflecting their recent form of five wins and a draw in their last six matches. They have been particularly dominant in their head-to-head encounters, winning all three of the most recent meetings without conceding a goal. The expected goals for Metropolitanos FC stands at 3.14, indicating a potent attacking threat.
On the other hand, Rayo Zuliano has shown some resilience, with their recent form including two wins and a draw in their last six matches. However, they face a challenging task, as their expected goals are significantly lower at 1.16. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match is high at 80%, and both teams scoring has a probability of 66%, suggesting an engaging contest ahead.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Metropolitanos FC and Rayo Zuliano expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.30
Metropolitanos FC and Rayo Zuliano attack and defence ratings
Metropolitanos FC
Rayo Zuliano
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Metropolitanos FC vs Rayo Zuliano markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Metropolitanos FC | 70.2% | 1.42 | +7.4% | 1.38 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 80.3% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.6% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Metropolitanos FC win | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Metropolitanos FC | 70.2% |
| Draw | 18.4% | |
| Rayo Zuliano | 11.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 80.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 19.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.3% |
| No | 33.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 29.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Metropolitanos FC win | 57.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.0% | |
| Loss | 24.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-1 | 8.1% |
| 2-1 | 7.8% | |
| 3-0 | 7.0% |
Metropolitanos FC vs Rayo Zuliano stats
Metropolitanos FC and Rayo Zuliano recent form
| Metropolitanos FC |
WWWWWD |
| Rayo Zuliano |
DWWDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Metropolitanos FC and Rayo Zuliano season so far
Metropolitanos FC record
- They have won 17 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Rayo Zuliano record
- They have won 7 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Metropolitanos FC vs Rayo Zuliano head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Rayo Zuliano | Metropolitanos FC | Venezuela Primera División | 0-1 |
| 2025-10-05 | Rayo Zuliano | Metropolitanos FC | Venezuela Primera División | 0-1 |
| 2025-04-26 | Metropolitanos FC | Rayo Zuliano | Venezuela Primera División | 4-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Metropolitanos FC vs Rayo Zuliano odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 68.4%, draw 19.8%, away 11.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.31 | 4.50 | 8.15 |
| Bet365 | 1.33 | 4.50 | 6.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.33 | 4.80 | 8.00 |
| Betano | 1.38 | 4.60 | 6.80 |
| Betfair | 1.29 | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.36 | 4.80 | 7.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.30 | 4.50 | 7.70 |
| Pinnacle | 1.32 | 4.85 | 7.80 |
| William Hill | 1.36 | 4.60 | 7.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .