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Venezuela Primera División · Full time ·Clausura - 12

Metropolitanos FC vs Rayo Zuliano

4 – 0 Full time

29′S. Garces
32′K. Ortiz
45′J. Velez
46′J. BarriosC. Romero
58′R. GarcesR. Sangiovani
59′K. Ortiz
66′J. MoranJ. Julio
66′J. AriasC. Maldonado
66′J. VelezK. Pacheco
73′MikuM. Diaz
73′S. RamirezB. Alcocer
73′K. OrtizJ. Riasco
81′R. FigueroaJ. Vargas
84′J. OchoaE. Gomez
89′J. Riasco

Estadio Olimpico de la UCV, CaracasReferee: A. Herrera

Metropolitanos FC 69%
Draw 19%
Rayo Zuliano 12%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Metropolitanos FC vs Rayo Zuliano overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Metropolitanos FC vs Rayo Zuliano

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMetropolitanos FCDrawRayo Zuliano
Model75.8%14.1%10.1%
Market66.9%20.4%12.6%
Final69.1%18.9%12.0%
Edge+2.2%-1.6%-0.6%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Metropolitanos FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.15 vs 1.16.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Metropolitanos FC below our published probability: +2.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Metropolitanos ↓ / Rayo Zuliano → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 2 8% 3 8% 4+ 12% 14% 8%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 93%
3+ goals 80%
No goals 2%

Metropolitanos FC and Rayo Zuliano expected goals

Metropolitanos FC 3.15
Rayo Zuliano 1.16

Total expected goals: 4.31

Metropolitanos FC and Rayo Zuliano attack and defence ratings

Metropolitanos FC

Attack 1.52 +52%
Defence 0.79 -21%

Rayo Zuliano

Attack 1.35 +35%
Defence 1.50 +50%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Metropolitanos FC vs Rayo Zuliano: result vs prediction

Metropolitanos FC 4 – 0 Rayo Zuliano

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 12 fixtures

Venezuela Primera División

Before and after this match

Metropolitanos FC vs Rayo Zuliano markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Metropolitanos FC 69.1% 1.45 +2.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 80.3% 1.25 — —
Both teams to score Yes 66.3% 1.51 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 88.0% 1.14 — —
Handicap -1 Metropolitanos FC win 58.0% 1.72 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Metropolitanos FC69.1%
Draw18.9%
Rayo Zuliano12.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.580.3%
Under 2.519.7%
Both teams to scoreYes66.3%
No33.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)88.0%
12 (either side)81.1%
X2 (draw or away)30.9%
Handicap -1Metropolitanos FC win58.0%
Push (exactly one goal)17.9%
Loss24.1%
Correct score (top 3)3-18.1%
2-17.8%
3-07.0%

Metropolitanos FC vs Rayo Zuliano stats

Metropolitanos FC and Rayo Zuliano recent form

newest first
Metropolitanos FC WWWWWD
Rayo Zuliano DWWDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Metropolitanos FC and Rayo Zuliano going into this match

league record before kick-off

Metropolitanos FC record

  • They have won 18 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 13 clean sheets in 30 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 30 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Rayo Zuliano record

  • They have won 7 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 24 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Metropolitanos FC vs Rayo Zuliano head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

6Metropolitanos FC wins 2Draws 0Rayo Zuliano wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-18Rayo ZulianoMetropolitanos FCVenezuela Primera División0-1
2025-10-05Rayo ZulianoMetropolitanos FCVenezuela Primera División0-1
2025-04-26Metropolitanos FCRayo ZulianoVenezuela Primera División4-2
2025-01-16Metropolitanos FCRayo ZulianoFriendlies Clubs2-0
2024-09-21Rayo ZulianoMetropolitanos FCPrimera División2-2
2024-03-23Metropolitanos FCRayo ZulianoPrimera División1-0
2023-08-12Rayo ZulianoMetropolitanos FCPrimera División1-1
2023-03-31Metropolitanos FCRayo ZulianoPrimera División2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Metropolitanos FC vs Rayo Zuliano odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 66.9%, draw 20.4%, away 12.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.33 4.45 7.60
Bet365 1.36 4.20 6.50
BetVictor 1.36 4.50 7.50
Betano 1.42 4.35 6.50
Betfair 1.33 4.60 7.00
Dafabet 1.39 4.60 7.00
Marathonbet 1.32 4.45 7.20
Pinnacle 1.33 4.80 7.57
William Hill 1.36 4.40 7.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.36 ▲ +0.11
X 4.45 ▼ -0.55
2 7.20 ▼ -2.05

10 snapshots recorded, from .