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Venezuela Primera División · Full time ·Clausura - 11

Zamora FC vs Metropolitanos FC

1 – 3 Full time

17′K. Ortiz
20′F. Espinal
38′J. Moreno
45′C. M. Diaz Moreno
45′G. Ayine
45′J. Navarro
46′J. C. Patino CastroS. Gomez
46′J. FloresH. Manrique
46′K. PalaciosS. Sulbaran
56′J. NavarroS. Ramirez
56′D. ZalzmanR. Sangiovani
56′S. Gomez
59′I. Ramirez
63′J. Ortiz
65′S. Sulbaran
65′Y. Yustiz
67′J. RamirezMiku
75′E. GallardoN. Jimenez
79′R. FigueroaR. Garces
79′K. OrtizJ. Riasco
80′G. Ayine
84′F. Stifano
84′F. Stifano
85′A. MatosJ. Exime
87′Miku

Carolina de Barinas, BarinasReferee: A. Velasquez

Zamora FC 26%
Draw 28%
Metropolitanos FC 46%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Zamora FC vs Metropolitanos FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Zamora FC vs Metropolitanos FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityZamora FCDrawMetropolitanos FC
Model15.5%23.7%60.7%
Market29.3%29.4%41.3%
Final25.9%28.0%46.1%
Edge-13.8%-5.7%+19.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Metropolitanos FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 0.87.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Metropolitanos FC below the model: +19.5 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Zamora FC ↓ / Metropolitanos → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 11% 11% 7% 1 11% 10% 6% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 53%
No goals 7%

Zamora FC and Metropolitanos FC expected goals

Zamora FC 0.87
Metropolitanos FC 1.91

Total expected goals: 2.79

Zamora FC and Metropolitanos FC attack and defence ratings

Zamora FC

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 1.22 +22%

Metropolitanos FC

Attack 1.45 +45%
Defence 0.77 -23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Zamora FC vs Metropolitanos FC: result vs prediction

Zamora FC 1 – 3 Metropolitanos FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 11 fixtures

Venezuela Primera División

Before and after this match

Zamora FC vs Metropolitanos FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Metropolitanos FC 46.1% 2.17 +19.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 52.7% 1.90 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.7% 1.97 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 74.1% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 39.3% 2.55 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Zamora FC25.9%
Draw28.0%
Metropolitanos FC46.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.552.7%
Under 2.547.3%
Both teams to scoreYes50.7%
No49.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)53.9%
12 (either side)72.0%
X2 (draw or away)74.1%
Handicap -1Metropolitanos FC win37.0%
Push (exactly one goal)23.8%
Loss39.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.3%
0-211.3%
0-110.8%

Zamora FC vs Metropolitanos FC stats

Zamora FC and Metropolitanos FC recent form

newest first
Zamora FC LLDLDW
Metropolitanos FC WWWWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Zamora FC and Metropolitanos FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Zamora FC record

  • They have won 6 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 23 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Metropolitanos FC record

  • They have won 17 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
  • They have kept 13 clean sheets in 29 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 29 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Zamora FC vs Metropolitanos FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Zamora FC wins 4Draws 2Metropolitanos FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-11Metropolitanos FCZamora FCVenezuela Primera División0-0
2025-08-16Zamora FCMetropolitanos FCVenezuela Primera División1-0
2025-03-09Metropolitanos FCZamora FCVenezuela Primera División0-0
2025-01-15Metropolitanos FCZamora FCFriendlies Clubs0-1
2024-08-07Zamora FCMetropolitanos FCPrimera División0-1
2024-02-17Metropolitanos FCZamora FCPrimera División3-1
2023-09-16Zamora FCMetropolitanos FCPrimera División4-1
2023-02-25Metropolitanos FCZamora FCPrimera División1-2
2022-10-15Zamora FCMetropolitanos FCPrimera División0-0
2022-10-08Metropolitanos FCZamora FCPrimera División0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Zamora FC vs Metropolitanos FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 29.3%, draw 29.4%, away 41.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.10 3.02 2.20
Bet365 3.10 3.10 2.15
BetVictor 3.00 3.20 2.25
Betano 3.10 3.20 2.18
Betfair 3.00 3.25 2.20
Marathonbet 3.02 3.02 2.18
Pinnacle 3.09 3.08 2.26
William Hill 3.20 2.90 2.25

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.09 —
X 3.09 ▲ +0.02
2 2.20 ▼ -0.03

2 snapshots recorded, from .