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Venezuela Primera División · Full time ·Clausura - 10

Metropolitanos FC vs Caracas FC

3 – 0 Full time

19′Richard Figueroa
37′Christian Adan·Larotonda Adan
45′Isaac Alexander Ramírez Mendoza
46′Christian Adan·Larotonda AdanSebastian Gonzalez
59′Kavier Ortiz
64′Michael CoveaChris Martinez
66′David ZalzmanRafael Sangiovani
73′Saimon RamirezJailerth Navarro
75′Wilfred CorreaLuis Maestre
75′Eduardo Fereiraeider barrios
81′Robert HernandezAngel Figueroa
85′Kavier OrtizJeizon Ramirez
85′Richard FigueroaRobert Garcés
87′Jailerth Navarro
88′Jailerth Navarro

Estadio Olimpico de la UCV, CaracasReferee: Y. Herrera

Metropolitanos FC 47%
Draw 28%
Caracas FC 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Metropolitanos FC vs Caracas FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Metropolitanos FC vs Caracas FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMetropolitanos FCDrawCaracas FC
Model64.5%23.5%12.0%
Market41.7%29.5%28.9%
Final47.4%28.0%24.7%
Edge+22.8%-6.0%-16.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Metropolitanos FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.85 vs 0.68.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Metropolitanos FC below the model: +22.8 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Metropolitanos ↓ / Caracas FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 1 14% 11% 2 14% 9% 3 8% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 73%
3+ goals 46%
No goals 9%

Metropolitanos FC and Caracas FC expected goals

Metropolitanos FC 1.85
Caracas FC 0.68

Total expected goals: 2.53

Metropolitanos FC and Caracas FC attack and defence ratings

Metropolitanos FC

Attack 1.33 +33%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Caracas FC

Attack 0.77 -23%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Metropolitanos FC vs Caracas FC: result vs prediction

Metropolitanos FC 3 – 0 Caracas FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 10 fixtures

Venezuela Primera División

Before and after this match

Metropolitanos FC vs Caracas FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Metropolitanos FC 47.4% 2.11 +22.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 53.3% 1.88 — —
Both teams to score No 57.2% 1.75 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.3% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Metropolitanos FC win 39.1% 2.56 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Metropolitanos FC47.4%
Draw28.0%
Caracas FC24.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.546.7%
Under 2.553.3%
Both teams to scoreYes42.8%
No57.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.3%
12 (either side)72.0%
X2 (draw or away)52.6%
Handicap -1Metropolitanos FC win39.1%
Push (exactly one goal)25.1%
Loss35.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-013.6%
2-013.6%
1-111.0%

Metropolitanos FC vs Caracas FC stats

Metropolitanos FC and Caracas FC recent form

newest first
Metropolitanos FC WWWDWL
Caracas FC LWDDDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Metropolitanos FC and Caracas FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Metropolitanos FC record

  • They have won 16 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
  • They have kept 12 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Caracas FC record

  • They have won 5 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 22 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Metropolitanos FC vs Caracas FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Metropolitanos FC wins 3Draws 6Caracas FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-03Caracas FCMetropolitanos FCVenezuela Primera División1-0
2026-03-04Caracas FCMetropolitanos FCCONMEBOL Sudamericana0-0
2025-11-01Caracas FCMetropolitanos FCVenezuela Primera División1-1
2025-10-26Metropolitanos FCCaracas FCVenezuela Primera División2-3
2025-08-06Metropolitanos FCCaracas FCCopa Venezuela2-2
2025-07-29Caracas FCMetropolitanos FCCopa Venezuela2-0
2025-07-13Metropolitanos FCCaracas FCVenezuela Primera División2-3
2025-02-03Caracas FCMetropolitanos FCVenezuela Primera División1-0
2024-10-06Caracas FCMetropolitanos FCPrimera División2-1
2024-06-30Metropolitanos FCCaracas FCCopa Venezuela2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Metropolitanos FC vs Caracas FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.7%, draw 29.5%, away 28.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.16 3.04 3.16
Bet365 2.15 3.00 3.10
BetVictor 2.20 3.20 3.10
Betano 2.18 3.10 3.25
Betfair 2.15 3.25 3.00
Marathonbet 2.14 3.04 3.08
Pinnacle 2.19 3.12 3.17
William Hill 2.20 3.00 3.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.17 ▲ +0.17
X 3.07 ▼ -0.05
2 3.13 ▼ -0.37

3 snapshots recorded, from .