Caracas FC
vs
Zamora FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Caracas FC
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
Caracas FC vs Zamora FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Caracas FC vs Zamora FC
| Probability | Caracas FC | Draw | Zamora FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.2% | 31.1% | 26.7% |
| Market | 54.0% | 26.9% | 19.1% |
| Final | 51.1% | 27.9% | 21.0% |
| Edge | -11.8% | +4.2% | +7.6% |
Why Caracas FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.27 vs 0.96.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.75, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Caracas FC vs Zamora FC match preview
Caracas FC faces Zamora FC in the Venezuela Primera División with kickoff scheduled for October 11, 2026. The model probabilities suggest a 42% chance of a Caracas FC victory, while a draw stands at 31% and Zamora FC at 27%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Caracas FC, occurring with a probability of 12%. Expected goals indicate Caracas FC at 1.27 and Zamora FC at 0.96.
In terms of recent form, Caracas FC has recorded two draws, one win, and two losses in their last five matches, while Zamora FC has struggled with five consecutive matches without a win, including three losses and two draws. The head-to-head record from the last three encounters shows an even split, with each team securing one win and one draw.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Caracas FC and Zamora FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.23
Caracas FC and Zamora FC attack and defence ratings
Caracas FC
Zamora FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Caracas FC vs Zamora FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Caracas FC | 51.1% | 1.96 | -11.8% | 1.75 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Caracas FC | 51.1% |
| Draw | 27.9% | |
| Zamora FC | 21.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.6% |
| No | 54.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Caracas FC win | 19.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 57.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 1-0 | 12.4% | |
| 0-0 | 12.1% |
Caracas FC vs Zamora FC stats
Caracas FC and Zamora FC recent form
| Caracas FC |
DLLWDD |
| Zamora FC |
LLLDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Caracas FC and Zamora FC season so far
Caracas FC record
- They have won 5 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 23 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Zamora FC record
- They have won 6 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 23 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Caracas FC vs Zamora FC head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-20 | Zamora FC | Caracas FC | Venezuela Primera División | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Caracas FC | Zamora FC | Venezuela Primera División | 2-0 |
| 2025-04-13 | Zamora FC | Caracas FC | Venezuela Primera División | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Caracas FC vs Zamora FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 54.0%, draw 26.9%, away 19.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.66 | 3.28 | 4.99 |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 3.10 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 3.50 | 4.80 |
| Betano | 1.75 | 3.45 | 4.35 |
| Betfair | 1.65 | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.71 | 3.50 | 4.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.64 | 3.28 | 4.85 |
| Pinnacle | 1.71 | 3.42 | 4.65 |
| William Hill | 1.73 | 3.30 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .