Venezuela Primera División
·
Full time
·Clausura - 12
Caracas FC
vs
Zamora FC
4 – 1 Full time
| 10′ | J. Quintero | ||
| 14′ | J. De Santis | ||
| 18′ | F. Espinal | ||
| 31′ | B. RodriguezJ. Mosquera | ||
| 31′ | A. Villarreal | ||
| 33′ | J. Quintero | ||
| 41′ | S. Torrealba | ||
| 55′ | A. FigueroaC. Larotonda | ||
| 56′ | J. Sinisterra | ||
| 62′ | A. Flores | ||
| 66′ | J. EximeS. Gomez | ||
| 66′ | E. GallardoH. Manrique | ||
| 79′ | W. CorreaM. Covea | ||
| 79′ | A. VillarrealC. Vegas | ||
| 79′ | Robert HernandezJ. Uribe | ||
| 80′ | S. TorrealbaM. Guevara | ||
| 80′ | A. FloresA. Leon | ||
| 80′ | F. EspinalJ. Flores | ||
| 83′ | J. De SantisS. Gonzalez |
Caracas FC
54%
Draw
25%
Zamora FC
20%
Caracas FC vs Zamora FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Caracas FC vs Zamora FC
| Probability | Caracas FC | Draw | Zamora FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.5% | 31.1% | 26.4% |
| Market | 58.2% | 23.6% | 18.3% |
| Final | 54.2% | 25.5% | 20.3% |
| Edge | -3.9% | +1.9% | +2.0% |
Why Caracas FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.27 vs 0.96.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
88%
2+ goals
67%
3+ goals
39%
No goals
12%
Caracas FC and Zamora FC expected goals
Caracas FC
1.27
Zamora FC
0.96
Total expected goals: 2.23
Caracas FC and Zamora FC attack and defence ratings
Caracas FC
Attack
0.68 -32%
Defence
1.11 +11%
Zamora FC
Attack
0.80 -20%
Defence
1.36 +36%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Caracas FC vs Zamora FC: result vs prediction
Caracas FC 4 – 1 Zamora FC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Clausura - 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Caracas FC vs Zamora FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Caracas FC | 54.2% | 1.84 | -3.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.5% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.7% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Caracas FC | 54.2% |
| Draw | 25.5% | |
| Zamora FC | 20.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.5% |
| No | 54.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Caracas FC win | 19.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 57.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 1-0 | 12.4% | |
| 0-0 | 12.1% |
Caracas FC vs Zamora FC stats
Caracas FC and Zamora FC recent form
| Caracas FC |
DLLWDD |
| Zamora FC |
LLLDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Caracas FC and Zamora FC going into this match
Caracas FC record
- They have won 5 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 24 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Zamora FC record
- They have won 6 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 24 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Caracas FC vs Zamora FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
5Caracas FC wins
3Draws
2Zamora FC wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-20 | Zamora FC | Caracas FC | Venezuela Primera División | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Caracas FC | Zamora FC | Venezuela Primera División | 2-0 |
| 2025-04-13 | Zamora FC | Caracas FC | Venezuela Primera División | 3-0 |
| 2024-11-09 | Caracas FC | Zamora FC | Primera División | 3-1 |
| 2024-11-02 | Zamora FC | Caracas FC | Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2024-08-28 | Caracas FC | Zamora FC | Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2024-03-09 | Zamora FC | Caracas FC | Primera División | 2-2 |
| 2023-08-12 | Caracas FC | Zamora FC | Primera División | 4-0 |
| 2023-04-02 | Zamora FC | Caracas FC | Primera División | 1-2 |
| 2022-09-10 | Zamora FC | Caracas FC | Primera División | 3-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Caracas FC vs Zamora FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 58.2%, draw 23.6%, away 18.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.57 | 3.62 | 5.12 |
| Bet365 | 1.55 | 3.50 | 5.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.55 | 3.90 | 5.25 |
| Betano | 1.60 | 3.90 | 4.90 |
| Betfair | 1.55 | 3.90 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.58 | 4.10 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.55 | 3.62 | 5.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.58 | 3.87 | 5.01 |
| William Hill | 1.60 | 3.75 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.57 ▼ -0.14
X
3.87 ▲ +0.51
2
5.00 ▲ +0.56
12 snapshots recorded, from .