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Venezuela Primera División · Full time ·Clausura - 10

Monagas SC vs Zamora FC

1 – 0 Full time

Monumental de Maturín, MaturinReferee: R. Cueva

Monagas SC 46%
Draw 28%
Zamora FC 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Monagas SC vs Zamora FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Monagas SC vs Zamora FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMonagas SCDrawZamora FC
Model53.6%26.1%20.3%
Market44.1%29.1%26.8%
Final46.5%28.3%25.2%
Edge+9.5%-3.0%-6.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Monagas SC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.72 vs 0.98.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Monagas SC below the model: +9.5 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Monagas SC ↓ / Zamora FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 10% 12% 2 10% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 51%
No goals 8%

Monagas SC and Zamora FC expected goals

Monagas SC 1.72
Zamora FC 0.98

Total expected goals: 2.70

Monagas SC and Zamora FC attack and defence ratings

Monagas SC

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Zamora FC

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 1.29 +29%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Monagas SC vs Zamora FC: result vs prediction

Monagas SC 1 – 0 Zamora FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 10 fixtures

Venezuela Primera División

Before and after this match

Monagas SC vs Zamora FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Monagas SC 46.5% 2.15 +9.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 50.6% 1.97 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.4% 1.91 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 74.8% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 46.3% 2.16 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Monagas SC46.5%
Draw28.3%
Zamora FC25.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550.6%
Under 2.549.4%
Both teams to scoreYes52.4%
No47.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.8%
12 (either side)71.7%
X2 (draw or away)53.5%
Handicap -1Monagas SC win30.3%
Push (exactly one goal)23.3%
Loss46.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.5%
1-010.4%
2-09.9%

Monagas SC vs Zamora FC stats

Monagas SC and Zamora FC recent form

newest first
Monagas SC WLWLDL
Zamora FC LDLDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Monagas SC and Zamora FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Monagas SC record

  • They have won 6 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 22 matches.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Zamora FC record

  • They have won 6 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 22 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Monagas SC vs Zamora FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Monagas SC wins 2Draws 2Zamora FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-04Zamora FCMonagas SCVenezuela Primera División2-1
2025-11-08Monagas SCZamora FCVenezuela Primera División1-0
2025-10-17Zamora FCMonagas SCVenezuela Primera División2-0
2025-08-23Zamora FCMonagas SCVenezuela Primera División2-3
2025-03-14Monagas SCZamora FCVenezuela Primera División2-1
2024-10-12Zamora FCMonagas SCPrimera División2-4
2024-04-12Monagas SCZamora FCPrimera División1-0
2023-07-28Monagas SCZamora FCPrimera División2-1
2023-04-14Zamora FCMonagas SCPrimera División1-1
2022-10-19Monagas SCZamora FCPrimera División1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Monagas SC vs Zamora FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 44.1%, draw 29.1%, away 26.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.04 3.08 3.40
Bet365 2.00 3.00 3.60
BetVictor 2.05 3.25 3.40
Betano 2.18 3.20 3.10
Betfair 2.00 3.30 3.30
Marathonbet 2.03 3.08 3.28
Pinnacle 2.12 3.12 3.33
William Hill 2.15 3.00 3.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.04 ▲ +0.26
X 3.10 ▼ -0.21
2 3.37 ▼ -0.79

3 snapshots recorded, from .