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Venezuela Primera División · Full time ·Clausura - 11

Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Trujillanos FC

1 – 1 Full time

24′L. VeraG. Montes
46′J. EcheverriaK. Gonzalez
46′A. MonteroA. Pena
48′D. Matheus
50′M. Gonzalez
55′A. AbetF. Gonzalez
56′L. MosqueraA. Araujo
67′M. GranadosD. Linarez
67′C. SantosJ. Mendez
71′D. MatheusC. Caicedo
76′K. Gonzalez
78′K. Gonzalez
80′J. LoboJ. Moreno
80′J. HernandezR. Chacon
87′R. Contreras
90′J. Mendez

Estadio Metropolitano de Merida , MéridaReferee: J. Valenzuela

Estudiantes de Merida FC 56%
Draw 25%
Trujillanos FC 19%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Trujillanos FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Trujillanos FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityEstudiantes de Merida FCDrawTrujillanos FC
Model53.5%25.5%21.0%
Market56.9%25.0%18.1%
Final56.1%25.1%18.8%
Edge-3.4%+0.4%+3.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Estudiantes de Merida FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.78 vs 1.05.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Estudiantes de ↓ / Trujillanos FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 9% 12% 2 9% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 54%
No goals 7%

Estudiantes de Merida FC and Trujillanos FC expected goals

Estudiantes de Merida FC 1.78
Trujillanos FC 1.05

Total expected goals: 2.83

Estudiantes de Merida FC and Trujillanos FC attack and defence ratings

Estudiantes de Merida FC

Attack 0.82 -18%
Defence 0.99 -1%

Trujillanos FC

Attack 0.98 -2%
Defence 1.57 +57%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Trujillanos FC: result vs prediction

Estudiantes de Merida FC 1 – 1 Trujillanos FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 11 fixtures

Venezuela Primera División

Before and after this match

Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Trujillanos FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Estudiantes de Merida FC 56.1% 1.78 -3.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 53.8% 1.86 — —
Both teams to score Yes 55.1% 1.81 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 81.2% 1.23 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 46.7% 2.14 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Estudiantes de Merida FC56.1%
Draw25.1%
Trujillanos FC18.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.553.8%
Under 2.546.2%
Both teams to scoreYes55.1%
No44.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)81.2%
12 (either side)74.9%
X2 (draw or away)43.9%
Handicap -1Estudiantes de Merida FC win30.5%
Push (exactly one goal)22.8%
Loss46.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.1%
2-19.8%
1-09.4%

Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Trujillanos FC stats

Estudiantes de Merida FC and Trujillanos FC recent form

newest first
Estudiantes de Merida FC LLWLDW
Trujillanos FC LLWLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Estudiantes de Merida FC and Trujillanos FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Estudiantes de Merida FC record

  • They have won 11 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 30 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 10 of 30 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Trujillanos FC record

  • They have won 3 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 10 of 24 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Trujillanos FC head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

4Estudiantes de Merida FC wins 2Draws 2Trujillanos FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-12Trujillanos FCEstudiantes de Merida FCVenezuela Primera División0-2
2021-09-10Trujillanos FCEstudiantes de Merida FCPrimera División1-1
2021-07-22Estudiantes de Merida FCTrujillanos FCPrimera División4-2
2021-06-04Trujillanos FCEstudiantes de Merida FCPrimera División0-7
2021-04-16Estudiantes de Merida FCTrujillanos FCPrimera División4-0
2020-11-18Estudiantes de Merida FCTrujillanos FCPrimera División1-2
2020-10-18Trujillanos FCEstudiantes de Merida FCPrimera División1-1
2019-09-01Estudiantes de Merida FCTrujillanos FCPrimera División1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Trujillanos FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 56.9%, draw 25.0%, away 18.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.55 3.48 5.65
Bet365 1.60 3.40 5.25
BetVictor 1.60 3.75 5.00
Betano 1.65 3.65 4.75
Betfair 1.53 3.80 5.00
Marathonbet 1.53 3.48 5.50
Pinnacle 1.61 3.63 5.09
William Hill 1.62 3.70 5.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.60 ▲ +0.05
X 3.64 ▲ +0.04
2 5.04 ▼ -0.46

3 snapshots recorded, from .