Deportivo La Guaira
vs
Trujillanos FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Deportivo La Guaira
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Deportivo La Guaira vs Trujillanos FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo La Guaira vs Trujillanos FC
| Probability | Deportivo La Guaira | Draw | Trujillanos FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.9% | 22.0% | 17.1% |
| Market | 59.4% | 24.3% | 16.3% |
| Final | 59.7% | 23.8% | 16.5% |
| Edge | +1.5% | -2.3% | +0.8% |
Why Deportivo La Guaira
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.14 vs 1.07.
Best available price on the pick: 1.57, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Deportivo La Guaira vs Trujillanos FC match preview
Deportivo La Guaira is favored to win against Trujillanos FC with a 61% probability, while a draw stands at 21% and Trujillanos FC at 18%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1, occurring at a rate of 10%. The model suggests a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams scoring at 62%. Expected goals are 2.25 for Deportivo La Guaira and 1.15 for Trujillanos FC.
In terms of recent form, Deportivo La Guaira has recorded a draw, followed by three losses, and then a win and another draw. Trujillanos FC's recent results include a draw, three losses, a win, and two more losses. The last head-to-head encounter saw Deportivo La Guaira winning. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Deportivo La Guaira and Trujillanos FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.20
Deportivo La Guaira and Trujillanos FC attack and defence ratings
Deportivo La Guaira
Trujillanos FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Deportivo La Guaira vs Trujillanos FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo La Guaira | 59.7% | 1.67 | +1.5% | 1.57 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.1% | 2.56 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo La Guaira | 59.7% |
| Draw | 23.8% | |
| Trujillanos FC | 16.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.8% |
| No | 41.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo La Guaira win | 38.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.2% | |
| Loss | 39.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.2% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.3% |
Deportivo La Guaira vs Trujillanos FC stats
Deportivo La Guaira and Trujillanos FC recent form
| Deportivo La Guaira |
DLLLWD |
| Trujillanos FC |
LDLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Deportivo La Guaira and Trujillanos FC season so far
Deportivo La Guaira record
- They have won 13 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
Trujillanos FC record
- They have won 3 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 25 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Deportivo La Guaira vs Trujillanos FC head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Trujillanos FC | Deportivo La Guaira | Venezuela Primera División | 0-1 |
| 2020-11-22 | Trujillanos FC | Deportivo La Guaira | Primera División | 0-2 |
| 2020-10-20 | Deportivo La Guaira | Trujillanos FC | Primera División | 1-2 |
| 2019-11-19 | Deportivo La Guaira | Trujillanos FC | Primera División | 2-0 |
| 2019-11-15 | Trujillanos FC | Deportivo La Guaira | Primera División | 1-1 |
| 2019-10-20 | Trujillanos FC | Deportivo La Guaira | Primera División | 1-1 |
| 2019-04-28 | Deportivo La Guaira | Trujillanos FC | Primera División | 6-0 |
| 2018-09-23 | Deportivo La Guaira | Trujillanos FC | Primera División | 2-2 |
| 2018-04-08 | Trujillanos FC | Deportivo La Guaira | Primera División | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Deportivo La Guaira vs Trujillanos FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 59.1%, draw 24.3%, away 16.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.53 | 3.54 | 5.79 |
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 3.75 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 3.75 | 5.50 |
| Betano | 1.57 | 3.70 | 5.40 |
| Betfair | 1.55 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.57 | 3.75 | 5.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.51 | 3.54 | 5.65 |
| Pinnacle | 1.54 | 3.71 | 5.79 |
| William Hill | 1.57 | 3.75 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .