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Venezuela Primera División · Full time ·Clausura - 9

Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC

2 – 0 Full time

28′jean gutierez
41′Hector Acosta
60′Juan David Sánchez
62′Jesus Lobo
64′Valentin AdamoOscar Hernandez
64′Juan David SánchezAdalberto Peñaranda
68′Pablo Camacho
73′Jeferson CaraballoAlexander Woiski
73′Franco ProvenzanoLuis Eduardo Zúñiga Ruíz
75′Darwin MatheusJohandry Lacruz
76′Jesus HernandezRonaldo Chacón
78′Ronaldo Chacón
80′Luis Caicedo
82′Agustín PérezBrayan Palmezano
84′Christian RivasMichael Maldonado
88′Jose Montilla
90′Romeesh IveyCesar Andres Magallan Estaba
90′Michael MaldonadoGeovan Montes
90′Jose Montilla

Estadio Metropolitano de Merida , MéridaReferee: Y. Herrera

Estudiantes de Merida FC 25%
Draw 29%
Deportivo Tachira FC 46%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityEstudiantes de Merida FCDrawDeportivo Tachira FC
Model21.5%28.1%50.4%
Market26.6%28.8%44.6%
Final25.3%28.6%46.1%
Edge-5.2%-0.6%+5.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Deportivo Tachira FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.54 vs 0.92.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Deportivo Tachira FC below the model: +5.8 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Estudiantes de ↓ / Deportivo Tach → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 12% 10% 1 13% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 72%
3+ goals 45%
No goals 10%

Estudiantes de Merida FC and Deportivo Tachira FC expected goals

Estudiantes de Merida FC 0.92
Deportivo Tachira FC 1.54

Total expected goals: 2.46

Estudiantes de Merida FC and Deportivo Tachira FC attack and defence ratings

Estudiantes de Merida FC

Attack 0.71 -29%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Deportivo Tachira FC

Attack 1.49 +49%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC: result vs prediction

Estudiantes de Merida FC 2 – 0 Deportivo Tachira FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 9 fixtures

Venezuela Primera División

Before and after this match

Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Deportivo Tachira FC 46.1% 2.17 +5.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 55.5% 1.80 — —
Both teams to score No 51.5% 1.94 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 74.7% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 49.5% 2.02 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Estudiantes de Merida FC25.3%
Draw28.6%
Deportivo Tachira FC46.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.544.5%
Under 2.555.5%
Both teams to scoreYes48.5%
No51.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)53.9%
12 (either side)71.4%
X2 (draw or away)74.7%
Handicap -1Deportivo Tachira FC win26.8%
Push (exactly one goal)23.7%
Loss49.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.3%
0-111.9%
0-210.1%

Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC stats

Estudiantes de Merida FC and Deportivo Tachira FC recent form

newest first
Estudiantes de Merida FC LDWDWL
Deportivo Tachira FC WWDLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Estudiantes de Merida FC and Deportivo Tachira FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Estudiantes de Merida FC record

  • They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 10 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Deportivo Tachira FC record

  • They have won 15 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Estudiantes de Merida FC wins 2Draws 7Deportivo Tachira FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-31Deportivo Tachira FCEstudiantes de Merida FCVenezuela Primera División1-0
2026-05-02Estudiantes de Merida FCDeportivo Tachira FCVenezuela Primera División2-1
2026-03-22Deportivo Tachira FCEstudiantes de Merida FCVenezuela Primera División1-0
2025-08-31Deportivo Tachira FCEstudiantes de Merida FCVenezuela Primera División4-0
2025-03-28Estudiantes de Merida FCDeportivo Tachira FCVenezuela Primera División2-3
2024-07-16Estudiantes de Merida FCDeportivo Tachira FCPrimera División1-1
2024-02-04Deportivo Tachira FCEstudiantes de Merida FCPrimera División5-1
2023-10-08Estudiantes de Merida FCDeportivo Tachira FCPrimera División1-3
2023-03-09Estudiantes de Merida FCDeportivo Tachira FCCONMEBOL Sudamericana1-1
2023-02-05Deportivo Tachira FCEstudiantes de Merida FCPrimera División3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 26.6%, draw 28.8%, away 44.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.50 3.14 2.01
Bet365 3.50 3.20 1.95
BetVictor 3.40 3.25 2.05
Betano 3.25 3.15 2.15
Betfair 3.25 3.30 2.00
Marathonbet 3.42 3.14 1.99
Pinnacle 3.55 3.16 2.03
SBO 2.80 2.87 2.09
William Hill 3.30 3.10 2.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.40 ▼ -0.26
X 3.15 ▼ -0.05
2 2.03 ▲ +0.08

2 snapshots recorded, from .