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Venezuela Primera División · Full time ·Clausura - 8

UCV vs Puerto Cabello

0 – 0 Full time

35′Pablo Lima
39′Williams José Lugo Ladera
46′Pablo LimaJúnior Moreno
46′Williams José Lugo LaderaJuan Diego Alegría Arango
54′Samuel Sosa
59′Samuel SosaDaniel Badillo Sousa
66′Jayson MartinezJose Hernandez
71′Edwin De Jesús Peraza Larezmaicol ruiz
71′Edwin MosqueraJunior Araujo
80′Juan Camilo ZapataVicente Rodríguez
82′Jhon MarchánJuan Ortuno
82′Edwuin PerníaDiego Osorio
83′Francisco Solé

Estadio Olimpico de la UCV, CaracasReferee: C. Parra

UCV 28%
Draw 29%
Puerto Cabello 43%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

UCV vs Puerto Cabello overview

Garuda Lions analysis: UCV vs Puerto Cabello

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityUCVDrawPuerto Cabello
Model22.4%26.7%50.9%
Market30.0%30.2%39.8%
Final28.1%29.3%42.6%
Edge-7.5%-3.5%+11.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Puerto Cabello

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.67 vs 1.04.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Puerto Cabello below the model: +11.1 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

UCV ↓ / Puerto Cabello → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 10% 9% 1 13% 10% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 51%
No goals 8%

UCV and Puerto Cabello expected goals

UCV 1.04
Puerto Cabello 1.67

Total expected goals: 2.70

UCV and Puerto Cabello attack and defence ratings

UCV

Attack 0.98 -2%
Defence 1.33 +33%

Puerto Cabello

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 0.76 -24%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

UCV vs Puerto Cabello: result vs prediction

UCV 0 – 0 Puerto Cabello

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 8 fixtures

Venezuela Primera División

Before and after this match

UCV vs Puerto Cabello markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Puerto Cabello 42.6% 2.35 +11.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 50.7% 1.97 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.5% 1.87 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 71.9% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 49.2% 2.03 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2UCV28.1%
Draw29.3%
Puerto Cabello42.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550.7%
Under 2.549.3%
Both teams to scoreYes53.5%
No46.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)57.4%
12 (either side)70.7%
X2 (draw or away)71.9%
Handicap -1Puerto Cabello win28.0%
Push (exactly one goal)22.8%
Loss49.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.7%
0-110.0%
1-29.6%

UCV vs Puerto Cabello stats

UCV and Puerto Cabello recent form

newest first
UCV DWLLLW
Puerto Cabello DWDWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

UCV and Puerto Cabello going into this match

league record before kick-off

UCV record

  • They have won 10 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Puerto Cabello record

  • They have won 11 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

UCV vs Puerto Cabello head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2UCV wins 3Draws 5Puerto Cabello wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-23Puerto CabelloUCVVenezuela Primera División2-1
2026-05-10UCVPuerto CabelloVenezuela Primera División3-1
2026-03-17Puerto CabelloUCVVenezuela Primera División3-0
2026-01-20UCVPuerto CabelloFriendlies Clubs0-1
2025-08-11Puerto CabelloUCVVenezuela Primera División2-2
2025-03-02UCVPuerto CabelloVenezuela Primera División1-0
2024-10-19Puerto CabelloUCVPrimera División3-3
2024-04-21UCVPuerto CabelloPrimera División0-0
2024-01-28UCVPuerto CabelloFriendlies Clubs2-3
2023-09-23UCVPuerto CabelloPrimera División2-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

UCV vs Puerto Cabello odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 30.0%, draw 30.2%, away 39.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.95 3.10 2.30
1xBet 3.04 3.12 2.21
Bet365 3.10 3.00 2.20
BetVictor 3.10 3.10 2.25
Betano 3.05 3.00 2.32
Betfair 3.00 3.10 2.20
Dafabet 3.10 3.05 2.34
Marathonbet 2.98 3.12 2.19
Pinnacle 3.11 3.00 2.29
Superbet 3.05 3.00 2.32
Unibet 2.75 3.00 2.35
William Hill 3.10 2.90 2.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.05 ▲ +0.05
X 3.02 ▼ -0.04
2 2.29 ▲ +0.02

6 snapshots recorded, from .