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Venezuela Primera División · Full time ·Clausura - 7

Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo La Guaira

1 – 1 Full time

4′J. Castellanos
45′C. Da SilvaR. Ibarra
48′Luis Cassiani
52′Pablo Lima
58′L. CasianiJ. Marchan
58′P. LimaJ. Martinez
60′Guillermo Ortíz
63′J. CastellanosJ. Correa
63′F. LondonoA. Uribe
63′M. SulbaranJ. Meza
67′R. RosalesA. Ponce
68′Edwuin Pernía
74′J. Marchan
75′Jose Correa
75′M. GonzalezJ. Perdomo
82′E. PerniaL. Cova
82′J. MorenoH. Contreras
90′Jiovany Ramos

Complejo Deportivo Socialista, CaraboboReferee: Y. Miranda

Puerto Cabello 45%
Draw 29%
Deportivo La Guaira 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo La Guaira overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo La Guaira

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPuerto CabelloDrawDeportivo La Guaira
Model54.7%23.9%21.4%
Market42.3%31.2%26.6%
Final45.4%29.3%25.3%
Edge+12.4%-7.3%-5.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Puerto Cabello

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 1.17.
  • The market prices Puerto Cabello below the model: +12.4 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Puerto Cabello ↓ / Deportivo La G → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 11% 6% 2 8% 10% 6% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 5%

Puerto Cabello and Deportivo La Guaira expected goals

Puerto Cabello 1.94
Deportivo La Guaira 1.17

Total expected goals: 3.11

Puerto Cabello and Deportivo La Guaira attack and defence ratings

Puerto Cabello

Attack 1.24 +24%
Defence 0.74 -26%

Deportivo La Guaira

Attack 1.47 +47%
Defence 1.13 +13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo La Guaira: result vs prediction

Puerto Cabello 1 – 1 Deportivo La Guaira

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 7 fixtures

Venezuela Primera División

Before and after this match

Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo La Guaira markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Puerto Cabello 45.4% 2.20 +12.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60.4% 1.66 — —
Both teams to score Yes 60.1% 1.66 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 74.7% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 45.6% 2.20 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Puerto Cabello45.4%
Draw29.3%
Deportivo La Guaira25.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.560.4%
Under 2.539.6%
Both teams to scoreYes60.1%
No39.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.7%
12 (either side)70.7%
X2 (draw or away)54.6%
Handicap -1Puerto Cabello win32.5%
Push (exactly one goal)22.0%
Loss45.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.1%
2-19.8%
2-08.4%

Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo La Guaira stats

Puerto Cabello and Deportivo La Guaira recent form

newest first
Puerto Cabello WDWWWL
Deportivo La Guaira LWWWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Puerto Cabello and Deportivo La Guaira going into this match

league record before kick-off

Puerto Cabello record

  • They have won 11 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Deportivo La Guaira record

  • They have won 12 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo La Guaira head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Puerto Cabello wins 5Draws 1Deportivo La Guaira wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-31Deportivo La GuairaPuerto CabelloVenezuela Primera División0-2
2026-05-03Puerto CabelloDeportivo La GuairaVenezuela Primera División1-1
2026-03-13Deportivo La GuairaPuerto CabelloVenezuela Primera División0-0
2026-01-19Deportivo La GuairaPuerto CabelloFriendlies Clubs1-2
2025-11-08Deportivo La GuairaPuerto CabelloVenezuela Primera División0-0
2025-10-17Puerto CabelloDeportivo La GuairaVenezuela Primera División3-1
2025-09-13Puerto CabelloDeportivo La GuairaVenezuela Primera División1-0
2025-04-05Deportivo La GuairaPuerto CabelloVenezuela Primera División0-0
2024-08-14Puerto CabelloDeportivo La GuairaPrimera División0-1
2024-02-24Deportivo La GuairaPuerto CabelloPrimera División0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Puerto Cabello vs Deportivo La Guaira odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 42.3%, draw 31.2%, away 26.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.15 3.00 3.35
1xBet 2.11 2.93 3.50
Bet365 2.10 2.88 3.50
BetVictor 2.15 3.10 3.40
Betano 2.18 3.00 3.40
Betfair 2.10 3.00 3.40
Dafabet 2.15 3.05 3.45
Marathonbet 2.11 2.88 3.44
Pinnacle 2.16 2.88 3.55
SBO 2.01 2.80 3.07
Unibet 2.20 2.90 3.05
William Hill 2.15 2.90 3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.15 ▲ +0.04
X 2.92 ▼ -0.02
2 3.42 ▼ -0.02

2 snapshots recorded, from .