Venezuela Primera División · Full time ·Clausura - 8

Deportivo La Guaira vs Anzoátegui FC

2 – 0 Full time

19′D. Guevara
24′J. Meza
29′R. Ibarra
31′N. Hernandez
46′S. ZeballosJ. Herrera
46′N. HernandezL. Martinez
62′J. PerdomoM. Gonzalez
62′R. IbarraJ. Correa
66′E. RuizD. Tegues
66′P. RojasC. Cermeno
73′M. Gonzalez
75′G. MarinG. Diciolla
77′F. LondonoM. Sulbaran
82′L. FioravantiE. Navas
82′C. BarriosP. Perez

Estadio Olimpico de la UCV, CaracasReferee: A. Arteaga

Deportivo La Guaira 69%
Draw 20%
Anzoátegui FC 11%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Deportivo La Guaira vs Anzoátegui FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo La Guaira vs Anzoátegui FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDeportivo La GuairaDrawAnzoátegui FC
Model74.3%15.6%10.1%
Market67.0%21.4%11.5%
Final68.8%20.0%11.2%
Edge+7.3%-5.8%-1.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Deportivo La Guaira

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.82 vs 1.01.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Deportivo La Guaira below the model: +7.3 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Deportivo La G ↓ / Anzoátegui FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 2 9% 9% 3 8% 8% 4+ 11% 11% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 90%
3+ goals 74%
No goals 3%

Deportivo La Guaira and Anzoátegui FC expected goals

Deportivo La Guaira 2.82
Anzoátegui FC 1.01

Total expected goals: 3.83

Deportivo La Guaira and Anzoátegui FC attack and defence ratings

Deportivo La Guaira

Attack 1.41 +41%
Defence 1.10 +10%

Anzoátegui FC

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 1.44 +44%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Deportivo La Guaira vs Anzoátegui FC: result vs prediction

Deportivo La Guaira 2 – 0 Anzoátegui FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 8 fixtures

Venezuela Primera División

Before and after this match

Deportivo La Guaira vs Anzoátegui FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Deportivo La Guaira 68.8% 1.45 +7.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 73.5% 1.36 — —
Both teams to score Yes 60.3% 1.66 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 88.8% 1.13 — —
Handicap -1 Deportivo La Guaira win 54.8% 1.83 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Deportivo La Guaira68.8%
Draw20.0%
Anzoátegui FC11.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.573.5%
Under 2.526.5%
Both teams to scoreYes60.3%
No39.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)88.8%
12 (either side)80.0%
X2 (draw or away)31.2%
Handicap -1Deportivo La Guaira win54.8%
Push (exactly one goal)19.5%
Loss25.7%
Correct score (top 3)2-18.7%
2-08.7%
3-18.2%

Deportivo La Guaira vs Anzoátegui FC stats

Deportivo La Guaira and Anzoátegui FC recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Deportivo La Guaira and Anzoátegui FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Deportivo La Guaira record

  • They have won 12 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Anzoátegui FC record

  • They have won 3 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 19 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 19 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Deportivo La Guaira vs Anzoátegui FC head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

3Deportivo La Guaira wins 1Draws 1Anzoátegui FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-17Anzoátegui FCDeportivo La GuairaVenezuela Primera División0-0
2025-08-01Deportivo La GuairaAnzoátegui FCVenezuela Primera División1-2
2025-05-31Anzoátegui FCDeportivo La GuairaVenezuela Primera División0-2
2025-05-12Deportivo La GuairaAnzoátegui FCVenezuela Primera División3-1
2025-02-22Anzoátegui FCDeportivo La GuairaVenezuela Primera División0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Deportivo La Guaira vs Anzoátegui FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 67.0%, draw 21.4%, away 11.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.34 4.25 8.25
Bet365 1.36 4.10 7.50
Marathonbet 1.33 4.25 7.90
Pinnacle 1.39 4.31 6.81
William Hill 1.36 4.00 8.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.36 ▼ -0.05
X 4.25 ▲ +0.33
2 7.90 ▲ +0.95

4 snapshots recorded, from .