Venezuela Primera División · 2026-09-03T23:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Clausura - 7

Metropolitanos FC vs Trujillanos FC

4 – 1 Full time

45′			Miku
55′			A. Ferro
63′			D. ZalzmanR. Sangiovani
63′			S. RamirezM. Diaz
64′			J. CarmonaJ. Echeverria
64′			J. MendezJ. Paredes
64′			D. NakacheA. Araujo
69′			K. OrtizR. Acosta
69′			G. AyineJ. Riasco
70′			J. Paredes
71′			Francisco Manenti
76′			M. GonzalezM. Granados
77′			Metropolitanos FCR. Garces
78′			Abreu Enderson
79′			Jorge Echeverría
85′			L. MosqueraC. Gil
85′			J. Riasco
90′			J. Riasco

Estadio Olimpico de la UCV, CaracasReferee: Y. Madrid

Metropolitanos FC

57%

Draw

26%

Trujillanos FC

18%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Metropolitanos FC vs Trujillanos FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Metropolitanos FC vs Trujillanos FC

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Metropolitanos FC	Draw	Trujillanos FC
Model	63.7%	22.8%	13.4%
Market	54.3%	26.4%	19.3%
Final	56.7%	25.5%	17.8%
Edge	+9.4%	-3.6%	-5.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Metropolitanos FC

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.95 vs 0.80.
Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
The market prices Metropolitanos FC below the model: +9.4 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

93%

2+ goals

77%

3+ goals

52%

No goals

Metropolitanos FC and Trujillanos FC expected goals

Metropolitanos FC

1.95

Trujillanos FC

0.80

Total expected goals: 2.75

Metropolitanos FC and Trujillanos FC attack and defence ratings

Metropolitanos FC

Attack

1.14 +14%

Defence

0.95 -5%

Trujillanos FC

Attack

0.78 -22%

Defence

1.24 +24%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Metropolitanos FC vs Trujillanos FC: result vs prediction

Metropolitanos FC 4 – 1 Trujillanos FC

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 7 fixtures

Venezuela Primera División

Zamora FC v Deportivo Tachira FC — match page · 2026-09-02

Before and after this match

Metropolitanos FC, previous: Portuguesa FC vs Metropolitanos FC prediction
Metropolitanos FC, next: Monagas SC v Metropolitanos FC analysis
Trujillanos FC, previous: Trujillanos FC vs Monagas SC: odds and pick
Trujillanos FC, next: Trujillanos FC vs Caracas FC: odds and pick

Metropolitanos FC vs Trujillanos FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Metropolitanos FC	56.7%	1.76	+9.4%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	52.1%	1.92	—	—
Both teams to score	No	51.8%	1.93	—	—
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	82.2%	1.22	—	—
Handicap -1	Metropolitanos FC win	39.4%	2.54	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Metropolitanos FC	56.7%
	Draw	25.5%
	Trujillanos FC	17.8%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	52.1%
	Under 2.5	47.9%
Both teams to score	Yes	48.2%
	No	51.8%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	82.2%
	12 (either side)	74.5%
	X2 (draw or away)	43.3%
Handicap -1	Metropolitanos FC win	39.4%
	Push (exactly one goal)	24.1%
	Loss	36.5%
Correct score (top 3)	2-0	12.2%
	1-0	11.4%
	1-1	10.9%

Metropolitanos FC vs Trujillanos FC stats

Metropolitanos FC and Trujillanos FC recent form

newest first

Metropolitanos FC	DWLWWW
Trujillanos FC	WDLLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Metropolitanos FC and Trujillanos FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Metropolitanos FC record

They have won 14 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
They have kept 10 clean sheets in 26 matches.
They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Trujillanos FC record

They have won 2 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
They have kept 3 clean sheets in 20 matches.
They have failed to score in 9 of 20 matches.
37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Metropolitanos FC vs Trujillanos FC head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

4Metropolitanos FC wins 2Draws 2Trujillanos FC wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-03-14	Trujillanos FC	Metropolitanos FC	Venezuela Primera División	0-1
2019-08-14	Metropolitanos FC	Trujillanos FC	Primera División	4-3
2019-02-17	Trujillanos FC	Metropolitanos FC	Primera División	0-2
2018-08-22	Trujillanos FC	Metropolitanos FC	Primera División	2-1
2018-02-28	Metropolitanos FC	Trujillanos FC	Primera División	0-0
2017-10-04	Trujillanos FC	Metropolitanos FC	Primera División	1-1
2017-04-26	Metropolitanos FC	Trujillanos FC	Primera División	1-0
2015-10-03	Trujillanos FC	Metropolitanos FC	Primera División	2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Metropolitanos FC vs Trujillanos FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 54.3%, draw 26.4%, away 19.3%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	1.66	3.42	4.84
Bet365	1.65	3.40	4.75
BetVictor	1.67	3.60	4.80
Betano	1.72	3.45	4.50
Betfair	1.65	3.60	4.60
Dafabet	1.71	3.60	4.60
Marathonbet	1.64	3.42	4.75
Pinnacle	1.69	3.48	4.67
SBO	1.60	3.26	4.11
Superbet	1.67	3.55	4.75
Unibet	1.68	3.30	4.40
William Hill	1.70	3.40	4.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.67 —

X 3.44 ▼ -0.02

2 4.71 ▼ -0.04

2 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-03T08:10:02Z.