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Venezuela Primera División · Full time ·Clausura - 6

Trujillanos FC vs Monagas SC

3 – 1 Full time

24′F. Gonzalez
48′H. DiazF. Basante
50′J. Paredes
57′F. QueirozJ. Mancilla
57′A. RomeroA. Romero
60′R. Rodriguez
64′E. Abreu
67′E. AbreuJ. Echeverria
67′F. GonzalezJ. Mendez
69′L. Mosquera
74′J. Paredes
75′C. RamirezE. Farias
76′A. Romero
77′J. ParedesJ. Gonzalez
77′M. GranadosG. Parra
79′R. RodriguezD. Castillo
81′K. GonzalezJ. Valiente
88′D. Castillo
90′G. Parra

Estadio Jose Alberto Perez, ValeraReferee: R. Torres

Trujillanos FC 37%
Draw 28%
Monagas SC 35%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Trujillanos FC vs Monagas SC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Trujillanos FC vs Monagas SC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTrujillanos FCDrawMonagas SC
Model24.2%30.6%45.1%
Market41.3%27.7%31.0%
Final37.0%28.5%34.5%
Edge-17.1%+2.9%+14.2%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Trujillanos FC ↓ / Monagas SC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 13% 9% 1 8% 14% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 67%
3+ goals 39%
No goals 12%

Trujillanos FC and Monagas SC expected goals

Trujillanos FC 0.90
Monagas SC 1.33

Total expected goals: 2.23

Trujillanos FC and Monagas SC attack and defence ratings

Trujillanos FC

Attack 0.62 -38%
Defence 1.31 +31%

Monagas SC

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Trujillanos FC vs Monagas SC: result vs prediction

Trujillanos FC 3 – 1 Monagas SC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 6 fixtures

Venezuela Primera División

Before and after this match

Trujillanos FC vs Monagas SC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Trujillanos FC 37.0% 2.70 -17.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 61.5% 1.63 — —
Both teams to score No 55.0% 1.82 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.5% 1.40 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 75.8% 1.32 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Trujillanos FC37.0%
Draw28.5%
Monagas SC34.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.538.5%
Under 2.561.5%
Both teams to scoreYes45.0%
No55.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.5%
12 (either side)71.5%
X2 (draw or away)63.0%
Handicap -1Trujillanos FC win8.7%
Push (exactly one goal)15.5%
Loss75.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.2%
0-113.0%
0-012.0%

Trujillanos FC vs Monagas SC stats

Trujillanos FC and Monagas SC recent form

newest first
Trujillanos FC DLLLWL
Monagas SC DLWLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Trujillanos FC and Monagas SC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Trujillanos FC record

  • They have won 2 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 20 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 20 matches.
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Monagas SC record

  • They have won 5 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 20 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 20 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Trujillanos FC vs Monagas SC head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2Trujillanos FC wins 3Draws 3Monagas SC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-08Monagas SCTrujillanos FCVenezuela Primera División3-1
2024-07-07Trujillanos FCMonagas SCCopa Venezuela0-1
2019-09-07Trujillanos FCMonagas SCPrimera División3-2
2019-03-27Monagas SCTrujillanos FCPrimera División2-1
2018-09-01Monagas SCTrujillanos FCPrimera División1-1
2018-03-11Trujillanos FCMonagas SCPrimera División1-0
2017-10-07Monagas SCTrujillanos FCPrimera División1-1
2017-04-30Trujillanos FCMonagas SCPrimera División0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Trujillanos FC vs Monagas SC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.3%, draw 27.7%, away 31.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.20 3.10 2.20
1xBet 2.02 3.35 3.24
Bet365 2.25 3.00 3.00
BetVictor 2.10 3.30 3.20
Betano 2.32 3.40 2.75
Dafabet 2.31 3.40 2.80
Marathonbet 2.00 3.35 3.18
Pinnacle 1.97 3.37 3.18
Superbet 2.32 3.40 2.72
Unibet 2.55 3.00 2.55
William Hill 2.10 3.30 3.10

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.