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Venezuela Primera División · Full time ·Clausura - 5

Metropolitanos FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC

3 – 1 Full time

Estadio Olimpico de la UCV, CaracasReferee: Y. Herrera

Metropolitanos FC 28%
Draw 30%
Deportivo Tachira FC 42%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Metropolitanos FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Metropolitanos FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMetropolitanos FCDrawDeportivo Tachira FC
Model31.2%31.2%37.5%
Market27.1%29.7%43.2%
Final28.1%30.1%41.8%
Edge+4.1%+1.5%-5.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Deportivo Tachira FC

  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Metropolitanos ↓ / Deportivo Tach → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 11% 7% 1 10% 15% 8% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 67%
3+ goals 39%
No goals 12%

Metropolitanos FC and Deportivo Tachira FC expected goals

Metropolitanos FC 1.06
Deportivo Tachira FC 1.20

Total expected goals: 2.26

Metropolitanos FC and Deportivo Tachira FC attack and defence ratings

Metropolitanos FC

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Deportivo Tachira FC

Attack 1.29 +29%
Defence 0.82 -18%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Metropolitanos FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC: result vs prediction

Metropolitanos FC 3 – 1 Deportivo Tachira FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 5 fixtures

Venezuela Primera División

Before and after this match

Metropolitanos FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Deportivo Tachira FC 41.8% 2.39 -5.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 60.6% 1.65 — —
Both teams to score No 52.9% 1.89 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 71.9% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 62.3% 1.60 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Metropolitanos FC28.1%
Draw30.1%
Deportivo Tachira FC41.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539.4%
Under 2.560.6%
Both teams to scoreYes47.1%
No52.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)58.2%
12 (either side)69.9%
X2 (draw or away)71.9%
Handicap -1Deportivo Tachira FC win16.7%
Push (exactly one goal)21.0%
Loss62.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.6%
0-011.7%
0-111.1%

Metropolitanos FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC stats

Metropolitanos FC and Deportivo Tachira FC recent form

newest first
Metropolitanos FC LWWWLW
Deportivo Tachira FC WWWWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Metropolitanos FC and Deportivo Tachira FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Metropolitanos FC record

  • They have won 14 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Deportivo Tachira FC record

  • They have won 15 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Metropolitanos FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

2Metropolitanos FC wins 3Draws 4Deportivo Tachira FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-17Metropolitanos FCDeportivo Tachira FCVenezuela Primera División0-1
2026-05-12Deportivo Tachira FCMetropolitanos FCVenezuela Primera División1-1
2026-03-01Deportivo Tachira FCMetropolitanos FCVenezuela Primera División0-1
2025-11-09Deportivo Tachira FCMetropolitanos FCVenezuela Primera División2-0
2025-10-18Metropolitanos FCDeportivo Tachira FCVenezuela Primera División1-1
2025-08-24Metropolitanos FCDeportivo Tachira FCVenezuela Primera División2-3
2025-05-31Metropolitanos FCDeportivo Tachira FCVenezuela Primera División2-1
2025-05-10Deportivo Tachira FCMetropolitanos FCVenezuela Primera División1-0
2025-03-16Deportivo Tachira FCMetropolitanos FCVenezuela Primera División1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Metropolitanos FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 27.1%, draw 29.7%, away 43.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.20 3.10 2.15
1xBet 3.41 3.12 2.05
Bet365 3.40 3.00 2.05
BetVictor 3.40 3.13 2.10
Betano 3.35 3.05 2.18
Betfair 3.25 3.10 2.10
Dafabet 3.35 3.05 2.19
Marathonbet 3.34 3.12 2.03
Pinnacle 3.49 3.02 2.08
SBO 3.02 2.85 2.00
Superbet 3.30 3.00 2.20
William Hill 3.40 2.90 2.15

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.35 ▲ +0.15
X 3.05 —
2 2.10 ▼ -0.10

2 snapshots recorded, from .