Venezuela Primera División · Full time ·Clausura - 5

Zamora FC vs UCV

2 – 0 Full time

Carolina de Barinas, BarinasReferee: R. Gonzalez

Zamora FC 34%
Draw 28%
UCV 38%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Zamora FC vs UCV overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Zamora FC vs UCV

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityZamora FCDrawUCV
Model43.4%27.9%28.7%
Market30.6%28.5%40.8%
Final33.8%28.4%37.8%
Edge+12.8%-0.7%-12.1%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Zamora FC ↓ / UCV → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 7% 1 9% 13% 7% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 8%

Zamora FC and UCV expected goals

Zamora FC 1.50
UCV 1.19

Total expected goals: 2.69

Zamora FC and UCV attack and defence ratings

Zamora FC

Attack 0.78 -22%
Defence 1.25 +25%

UCV

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 1.40 +40%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Zamora FC vs UCV: result vs prediction

Zamora FC 2 – 0 UCV

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 5 fixtures

Venezuela Primera División

Before and after this match

Zamora FC vs UCV markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 UCV 37.8% 2.65 -12.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 50.5% 1.98 — —
Both teams to score Yes 55.3% 1.81 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.6% 1.40 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 71.1% 1.41 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Zamora FC33.8%
Draw28.4%
UCV37.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550.5%
Under 2.549.5%
Both teams to scoreYes55.3%
No44.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)62.2%
12 (either side)71.6%
X2 (draw or away)66.2%
Handicap -1UCV win12.4%
Push (exactly one goal)16.6%
Loss71.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.3%
2-19.1%
1-09.0%

Zamora FC vs UCV stats

Zamora FC and UCV recent form

newest first
Zamora FC LLLWDD
UCV LLWLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Zamora FC and UCV going into this match

league record before kick-off

Zamora FC record

  • They have won 6 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 20 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 20 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

UCV record

  • They have won 10 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Zamora FC vs UCV head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

1Zamora FC wins 0Draws 2UCV wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-28UCVZamora FCVenezuela Primera División2-1
2025-08-31UCVZamora FCVenezuela Primera División0-1
2025-03-29Zamora FCUCVVenezuela Primera División0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Zamora FC vs UCV odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 30.6%, draw 28.7%, away 40.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.62 3.20 2.50
1xBet 3.02 3.30 2.27
Bet365 3.00 3.25 2.25
BetVictor 3.00 3.20 2.25
Betano 3.05 3.15 2.25
Betfair 2.90 3.25 2.20
Dafabet 3.00 3.25 2.28
Pinnacle 3.07 3.24 2.19
SBO 2.78 2.92 2.09
Superbet 2.95 3.20 2.27
William Hill 3.00 3.10 2.25

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.00 ▲ +0.17
X 3.22 ▲ +0.02
2 2.25 ▼ -0.13

2 snapshots recorded, from .