Estudiantes de Merida FC
vs
Puerto Cabello
1 – 1 Full time
Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Puerto Cabello overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Puerto Cabello
| Probability | Estudiantes de Merida FC | Draw | Puerto Cabello |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.2% | 31.9% | 43.9% |
| Market | 25.6% | 29.9% | 44.5% |
| Final | 25.3% | 30.4% | 44.3% |
| Edge | -1.4% | +2.0% | -0.6% |
Why Puerto Cabello
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.24 vs 0.85.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Estudiantes de Merida FC and Puerto Cabello expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.09
Estudiantes de Merida FC and Puerto Cabello attack and defence ratings
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Puerto Cabello
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Puerto Cabello: result vs prediction
Estudiantes de Merida FC 1 – 1 Puerto Cabello
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Clausura - 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Puerto Cabello markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Puerto Cabello | 44.3% | 2.26 | -0.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Estudiantes de Merida FC | 25.3% |
| Draw | 30.4% | |
| Puerto Cabello | 44.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 65.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.0% |
| No | 58.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 55.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Puerto Cabello win | 20.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.7% | |
| Loss | 55.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 0-1 | 14.0% | |
| 0-0 | 13.7% |
Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Puerto Cabello stats
Estudiantes de Merida FC and Puerto Cabello recent form
| Estudiantes de Merida FC |
WLWDLL |
| Puerto Cabello |
WWWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Estudiantes de Merida FC and Puerto Cabello going into this match
Estudiantes de Merida FC record
- They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Puerto Cabello record
- They have won 11 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Puerto Cabello head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-27 | Puerto Cabello | Estudiantes de Merida FC | Venezuela Primera División | 1-2 |
| 2025-09-27 | Puerto Cabello | Estudiantes de Merida FC | Venezuela Primera División | 1-2 |
| 2025-04-18 | Estudiantes de Merida FC | Puerto Cabello | Venezuela Primera División | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Puerto Cabello odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 25.6%, draw 29.9%, away 44.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.56 | 3.15 | 1.99 |
| Bet365 | 3.70 | 3.00 | 1.95 |
| BetVictor | 3.50 | 3.13 | 2.05 |
| Betano | 3.40 | 3.05 | 2.12 |
| Betfair | 3.60 | 3.10 | 1.95 |
| Dafabet | 3.65 | 3.10 | 2.07 |
| Marathonbet | 3.48 | 3.15 | 1.97 |
| Pinnacle | 3.72 | 2.91 | 2.09 |
| SBO | 3.13 | 2.81 | 1.98 |
| Superbet | 3.55 | 3.05 | 2.07 |
| Unibet | 3.20 | 2.95 | 2.10 |
| William Hill | 3.60 | 3.00 | 2.05 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .