Rayo Zuliano
vs
Deportivo La Guaira
1 – 4 Full time
Rayo Zuliano vs Deportivo La Guaira overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Rayo Zuliano vs Deportivo La Guaira
| Probability | Rayo Zuliano | Draw | Deportivo La Guaira |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.1% | 25.1% | 48.8% |
| Market | 18.2% | 26.6% | 55.2% |
| Final | 20.2% | 26.2% | 53.6% |
| Edge | +7.9% | -1.4% | -6.5% |
Why Deportivo La Guaira
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.81 vs 1.28.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Rayo Zuliano and Deportivo La Guaira expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.09
Rayo Zuliano and Deportivo La Guaira attack and defence ratings
Rayo Zuliano
Deportivo La Guaira
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Rayo Zuliano vs Deportivo La Guaira: result vs prediction
Rayo Zuliano 1 – 4 Deportivo La Guaira
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Clausura - 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Rayo Zuliano vs Deportivo La Guaira markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo La Guaira | 53.6% | 1.87 | -6.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.7% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rayo Zuliano | 20.2% |
| Draw | 26.2% | |
| Deportivo La Guaira | 53.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.5% |
| No | 38.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 46.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 79.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo La Guaira win | 27.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 51.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.6% |
| 1-2 | 9.5% | |
| 0-2 | 7.4% |
Rayo Zuliano vs Deportivo La Guaira stats
Rayo Zuliano and Deportivo La Guaira recent form
| Rayo Zuliano |
LWLLLL |
| Deportivo La Guaira |
WWLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Rayo Zuliano and Deportivo La Guaira going into this match
Rayo Zuliano record
- They have won 6 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 20 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Deportivo La Guaira record
- They have won 12 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Rayo Zuliano vs Deportivo La Guaira head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-01 | Deportivo La Guaira | Rayo Zuliano | Venezuela Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2025-07-18 | Deportivo La Guaira | Rayo Zuliano | Venezuela Primera División | 4-0 |
| 2025-02-08 | Rayo Zuliano | Deportivo La Guaira | Venezuela Primera División | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Rayo Zuliano vs Deportivo La Guaira odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 18.2%, draw 26.6%, away 55.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 5.00 | 3.40 | 1.64 |
| 1xBet | 5.25 | 3.40 | 1.62 |
| Bet365 | 4.50 | 3.60 | 1.65 |
| BetVictor | 5.00 | 3.50 | 1.65 |
| Betano | 4.90 | 3.35 | 1.70 |
| Betfair | 4.75 | 3.50 | 1.65 |
| Dafabet | 5.00 | 3.50 | 1.68 |
| Marathonbet | 5.15 | 3.40 | 1.60 |
| Pinnacle | 5.06 | 3.43 | 1.66 |
| SBO | 4.45 | 3.21 | 1.56 |
| Superbet | 4.80 | 3.50 | 1.68 |
| William Hill | 5.00 | 3.25 | 1.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .