Barbados
vs
Guadeloupe
Garuda Lions Prediction: Barbados
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.33 vs 1.51.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Barbados vs Guadeloupe overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Barbados vs Guadeloupe
| Probability | Barbados | Draw | Guadeloupe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.1% | 21.2% | 23.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 55.1% | 21.2% | 23.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Barbados
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.33 vs 1.51.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Barbados vs Guadeloupe match preview
Barbados will face Guadeloupe in the CONCACAF Nations League, with kickoff scheduled for November 11, 2026. According to our model, Barbados has a 55% probability of winning, while Guadeloupe stands at 24% and a draw is at 21%. The expected goals for Barbados are 2.33 compared to Guadeloupe's 1.51, indicating a potential scoring advantage for the home side. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1, with a 9% likelihood.
Recent form shows Barbados with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last six matches. In contrast, Guadeloupe has struggled, recording two losses, one draw, and one win in the same timeframe. The model suggests a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals at 74% and both teams scoring at 71%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Barbados and Guadeloupe expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.83
Barbados and Guadeloupe attack and defence ratings
Barbados
Guadeloupe
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other League B - 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Barbados vs Guadeloupe markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Barbados | 55.1% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 78.8% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.9% | 2.23 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Barbados | 55.1% |
| Draw | 21.2% | |
| Guadeloupe | 23.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 26.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.0% |
| No | 29.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Barbados win | 35.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 44.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.8% |
| 1-1 | 8.3% | |
| 3-1 | 6.8% |
Barbados vs Guadeloupe stats
Barbados and Guadeloupe recent form
| Barbados |
WWDWLD |
| Guadeloupe |
LLDWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Barbados vs Guadeloupe head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Guadeloupe | Barbados | CONCACAF Nations League | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.