Guadeloupe
vs
Bermuda
Garuda Lions Prediction: Guadeloupe
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.61 vs 1.32.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Guadeloupe vs Bermuda overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Guadeloupe vs Bermuda
| Probability | Guadeloupe | Draw | Bermuda |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 64.4% | 18.7% | 16.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 64.4% | 18.7% | 16.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Guadeloupe
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.61 vs 1.32.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Guadeloupe vs Bermuda match preview
Guadeloupe is set to face Bermuda in the CONCACAF Nations League, with a kickoff scheduled for November 11, 2026. According to our model, Guadeloupe holds a 64% probability of winning, while Bermuda has a 17% chance. The most likely scoreline is predicted to be 2-1 in favor of Guadeloupe, with an expected goals tally of 2.61 for Guadeloupe and 1.32 for Bermuda. The model also suggests a 75% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance that both teams will score.
Recent form indicates that Guadeloupe has struggled, recording two losses, one draw, and one win in their last five matches. In contrast, Bermuda has faced a challenging stretch, with four consecutive losses followed by one draw and another loss. In their last encounter, Guadeloupe emerged victorious, with a record of 1 win against Bermuda's 0.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Guadeloupe and Bermuda expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.93
Guadeloupe and Bermuda attack and defence ratings
Guadeloupe
Bermuda
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other League B - 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Guadeloupe vs Bermuda markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Guadeloupe | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.1% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Guadeloupe win | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Guadeloupe | 64.4% |
| Draw | 18.7% | |
| Bermuda | 16.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 24.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.6% |
| No | 31.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 35.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Guadeloupe win | 44.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 35.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.8% |
| 3-1 | 7.7% | |
| 1-1 | 7.4% |
Guadeloupe vs Bermuda stats
Guadeloupe and Bermuda recent form
| Guadeloupe |
LLDWLL |
| Bermuda |
LLLLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Guadeloupe vs Bermuda head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Bermuda | Guadeloupe | CONCACAF Nations League | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.