Bonaire
vs
Cuba
Garuda Lions Prediction: Cuba
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.79 vs 1.30.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Bonaire vs Cuba overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bonaire vs Cuba
| Probability | Bonaire | Draw | Cuba |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.7% | 25.3% | 48.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 26.7% | 25.3% | 48.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Cuba
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.79 vs 1.30.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Bonaire vs Cuba match preview
Bonaire faces Cuba in the CONCACAF Nations League with a kickoff scheduled for November 11, 2026. According to our model, Cuba has a 48% probability of winning, while Bonaire stands at 27% and the draw at 25%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2 in favor of Cuba, with an expected goals tally of 1.30 for Bonaire and 1.79 for Cuba. Additionally, there is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% likelihood that both teams will score.
Recent form shows Bonaire struggling with six consecutive matches without a win, recording one win and five losses. In contrast, Cuba's recent performances include two wins, two draws, and one loss. The head-to-head record indicates that Cuba has won their only previous encounter against Bonaire. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bonaire and Cuba expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.09
Bonaire and Cuba attack and defence ratings
Bonaire
Cuba
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other League B - 3 fixtures
- St. Kitts and Nevis vs Grenada — team news & stats
- St. Kitts and Nevis v Cuba — match page
- Bonaire vs Grenada — team news & stats
- Cuba vs St. Kitts and Nevis
- Grenada v Bonaire — match page
- Cuba v Grenada — match page
- Grenada v St. Kitts and Nevis — match page
- St. Kitts and Nevis vs Bonaire — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Bonaire vs Cuba markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cuba | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bonaire | 26.7% |
| Draw | 25.3% | |
| Cuba | 48.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.6% |
| No | 38.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 52.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cuba win | 27.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.1% | |
| Loss | 52.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.6% |
| 1-2 | 9.5% | |
| 0-2 | 7.3% |
Bonaire vs Cuba stats
Bonaire vs Cuba head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Cuba | Bonaire | CONCACAF Nations League | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.