Cuba
vs
Grenada
Garuda Lions Prediction: Cuba
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.29 vs 1.37.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Cuba vs Grenada overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cuba vs Grenada
| Probability | Cuba | Draw | Grenada |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.3% | 21.3% | 21.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 57.3% | 21.3% | 21.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Cuba
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.29 vs 1.37.
Cuba vs Grenada match preview
Cuba faces Grenada in the CONCACAF Nations League with a predicted win probability of 57% for Cuba, while both teams share a 21% chance of a draw. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-1 in favor of Cuba, occurring with a 9% likelihood. The expected goals for Cuba stand at 2.29, compared to Grenada's 1.37, suggesting a strong offensive performance from the hosts.
In terms of recent form, Cuba has recorded two draws, three wins, and one loss in their last six matches, while Grenada's form shows two wins and four losses in the same period. Additionally, there is a high probability of over 2.5 goals at 71%, and both teams scoring is forecasted at 68%. The head-to-head record indicates Cuba's dominance with one win and no losses against Grenada.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cuba and Grenada expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.65
Cuba and Grenada attack and defence ratings
Cuba
Grenada
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other League B - 3 fixtures
- St. Kitts and Nevis vs Grenada — team news & stats
- St. Kitts and Nevis v Cuba — match page
- Bonaire vs Grenada — team news & stats
- Cuba vs St. Kitts and Nevis
- Grenada v Bonaire — match page
- Grenada v St. Kitts and Nevis — match page
- St. Kitts and Nevis vs Bonaire — team news & stats
- Bonaire vs Cuba — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Cuba vs Grenada markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cuba | 57.3% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.7% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.8% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cuba | 57.3% |
| Draw | 21.3% | |
| Grenada | 21.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 29.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.8% |
| No | 32.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cuba win | 36.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 42.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.3% |
| 1-1 | 8.9% | |
| 3-1 | 7.1% |
Cuba vs Grenada stats
Cuba vs Grenada head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Grenada | Cuba | CONCACAF Nations League | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.