CONCACAF Nations League Β· Β·League B - 3

Grenada vs St. Kitts and Nevis

Garuda Lions Prediction: St. Kitts and Nevis

1 – 2 Predicted score Β· 7% model probability

  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Grenada 35%
Draw 21%
St. Kitts and Nevis 43%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance St. Kitts and Nevis wins
43%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
98%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
78%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
7% of simulated outcomes

Grenada vs St. Kitts and Nevis overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Grenada vs St. Kitts and Nevis

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGrenadaDrawSt. Kitts and Nevis
Model35.4%21.2%43.4%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final35.4%21.2%43.4%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Grenada vs St. Kitts and Nevis match preview

Grenada faces St. Kitts and Nevis in the CONCACAF Nations League, with kickoff scheduled for November 11, 2026. According to our model, St. Kitts and Nevis holds a slight edge with a 43% probability of winning, compared to Grenada's 35%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2 in favor of St. Kitts and Nevis, with expected goals of 2.01 for Grenada and 2.23 for St. Kitts and Nevis.

In terms of recent form, Grenada has recorded two wins and three losses in their last five matches, while St. Kitts and Nevis has two wins, two draws, and one loss in the same period. The model predicts a high-scoring match, with an 80% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 78% chance that both teams will score.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Grenada ↓ / St. Kitts and β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 7% 5% 5% 2 6% 7% 5% 5% 3 4% 5% 4+ 4%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 93%
3+ goals 80%
No goals 2%

Grenada and St. Kitts and Nevis expected goals

Grenada 2.01
St. Kitts and Nevis 2.23

Total expected goals: 4.24

Grenada and St. Kitts and Nevis attack and defence ratings

Grenada

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 1.21 +21%

St. Kitts and Nevis

Attack 1.16 +16%
Defence 1.21 +21%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other League B - 3 fixtures

CONCACAF Nations League

Before and after this match

Grenada vs St. Kitts and Nevis markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 St. Kitts and Nevis 43.4% 2.31 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 79.5% 1.26 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 78.0% 1.28 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 78.8% 1.27 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 56.6% 1.77 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Grenada35.4%
Draw21.2%
St. Kitts and Nevis43.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.579.5%
Under 2.520.5%
Both teams to scoreYes78.0%
No22.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)56.6%
12 (either side)78.8%
X2 (draw or away)64.6%
Handicap -1St. Kitts and Nevis win25.7%
Push (exactly one goal)17.7%
Loss56.6%
Correct score (top 3)2-27.2%
1-27.2%
1-17.1%

Grenada vs St. Kitts and Nevis stats

Grenada and St. Kitts and Nevis recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Grenada vs St. Kitts and Nevis head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Grenada wins 0Draws 1St. Kitts and Nevis wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-09-29St. Kitts and NevisGrenadaCONCACAF Nations League3-0
2025-06-10St. Kitts and NevisGrenadaWorld Cup - Qualification CONCACAF2-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Grenada vs St. Kitts and Nevis odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 2 St. Kitts and Nevis Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now
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