Grenada
vs
St. Kitts and Nevis
Garuda Lions Prediction: St. Kitts and Nevis
1 β 2 Predicted score Β· 7% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Grenada vs St. Kitts and Nevis overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Grenada vs St. Kitts and Nevis
| Probability | Grenada | Draw | St. Kitts and Nevis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.4% | 21.2% | 43.4% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 35.4% | 21.2% | 43.4% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Grenada vs St. Kitts and Nevis match preview
Grenada faces St. Kitts and Nevis in the CONCACAF Nations League, with kickoff scheduled for November 11, 2026. According to our model, St. Kitts and Nevis holds a slight edge with a 43% probability of winning, compared to Grenada's 35%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2 in favor of St. Kitts and Nevis, with expected goals of 2.01 for Grenada and 2.23 for St. Kitts and Nevis.
In terms of recent form, Grenada has recorded two wins and three losses in their last five matches, while St. Kitts and Nevis has two wins, two draws, and one loss in the same period. The model predicts a high-scoring match, with an 80% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 78% chance that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Grenada and St. Kitts and Nevis expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.24
Grenada and St. Kitts and Nevis attack and defence ratings
Grenada
St. Kitts and Nevis
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other League B - 3 fixtures
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- Grenada v Bonaire β match page
- Cuba v Grenada β match page
- St. Kitts and Nevis vs Bonaire β team news & stats
- Bonaire vs Cuba β team news & stats
Before and after this match
Grenada vs St. Kitts and Nevis markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | St. Kitts and Nevis | 43.4% | 2.31 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.5% | 1.26 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 78.0% | 1.28 | β | β |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 78.8% | 1.27 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.6% | 1.77 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Grenada | 35.4% |
| Draw | 21.2% | |
| St. Kitts and Nevis | 43.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 20.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 78.0% |
| No | 22.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 56.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | St. Kitts and Nevis win | 25.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.7% | |
| Loss | 56.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-2 | 7.2% |
| 1-2 | 7.2% | |
| 1-1 | 7.1% |
Grenada vs St. Kitts and Nevis stats
Grenada and St. Kitts and Nevis recent form
| LWLLWW | |
| DDWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Grenada vs St. Kitts and Nevis head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | St. Kitts and Nevis | Grenada | CONCACAF Nations League | 3-0 |
| 2025-06-10 | St. Kitts and Nevis | Grenada | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.