St. Kitts and Nevis
vs
Bonaire
Garuda Lions Prediction: St. Kitts and Nevis
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.00 vs 1.66.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
St. Kitts and Nevis vs Bonaire overview
Garuda Lions analysis: St. Kitts and Nevis vs Bonaire
| Probability | St. Kitts and Nevis | Draw | Bonaire |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.3% | 23.1% | 31.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 45.3% | 23.1% | 31.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why St. Kitts and Nevis
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.00 vs 1.66.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
St. Kitts and Nevis vs Bonaire match preview
St. Kitts and Nevis will face Bonaire in the CONCACAF Nations League on November 11, 2026. According to our model, St. Kitts and Nevis has a 45% probability of winning, while Bonaire stands at 32%, and a draw is estimated at 23%. The expected goals for St. Kitts and Nevis is 2.00, compared to Bonaire's 1.66. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of St. Kitts and Nevis, occurring at a rate of 9%.
Both teams show a high likelihood of scoring, with our model indicating a 71% chance for both teams to score and for the match to have over 2.5 goals. Recent form highlights St. Kitts and Nevis with two draws and two wins in their last six matches, while Bonaire has struggled, recording six consecutive losses.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
St. Kitts and Nevis and Bonaire expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.67
St. Kitts and Nevis and Bonaire attack and defence ratings
St. Kitts and Nevis
Bonaire
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other League B - 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
St. Kitts and Nevis vs Bonaire markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | St. Kitts and Nevis | 45.3% | 2.21 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | St. Kitts and Nevis | 45.3% |
| Draw | 23.1% | |
| Bonaire | 31.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 29.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.0% |
| No | 29.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | St. Kitts and Nevis win | 26.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.1% | |
| Loss | 54.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.4% |
| 2-1 | 8.5% | |
| 2-2 | 7.1% |
St. Kitts and Nevis vs Bonaire stats
St. Kitts and Nevis and Bonaire recent form
| St. Kitts and Nevis |
DDWWLL |
| Bonaire |
WLLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
St. Kitts and Nevis vs Bonaire head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Bonaire | St. Kitts and Nevis | CONCACAF Nations League | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.