Larne
vs
Lincoln Red Imps FC
0 – 3 Full time
Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps FC
| Probability | Larne | Draw | Lincoln Red Imps FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 66.6% | 22.4% | 11.0% |
| Market | 48.0% | 26.2% | 25.8% |
| Final | 52.6% | 25.3% | 22.1% |
| Edge | +18.7% | -3.8% | -14.9% |
Why Larne
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 0.66.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Larne below the model: +18.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Larne and Lincoln Red Imps FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.59
Larne and Lincoln Red Imps FC attack and defence ratings
Larne
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps FC: result vs prediction
Larne 0 – 3 Lincoln Red Imps FC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Playoff round fixtures
Before and after this match
Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Larne | 52.6% | 1.90 | +18.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Larne win | 41.6% | 2.40 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Larne | 52.6% |
| Draw | 25.3% | |
| Lincoln Red Imps FC | 22.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.6% |
| No | 57.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Larne win | 41.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.9% | |
| Loss | 33.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 13.9% |
| 1-0 | 13.4% | |
| 1-1 | 10.5% |
Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps FC stats
Larne and Lincoln Red Imps FC recent form
| Larne |
WDLDLL |
| Lincoln Red Imps FC |
LLDDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps FC head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | Larne | UEFA Europa Conference League | 0-2 |
| 2024-08-29 | Larne | Lincoln Red Imps FC | UEFA Europa Conference League | 3-1 |
| 2024-08-22 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | Larne | UEFA Europa Conference League | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.0%, draw 26.2%, away 25.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.92 | 3.70 | 3.60 |
| 1xBet | 1.99 | 3.64 | 3.77 |
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 3.70 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.70 |
| Betano | 1.98 | 3.55 | 3.55 |
| Betfair | 1.90 | 3.60 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 1.98 | 3.65 | 3.65 |
| Marathonbet | 1.92 | 3.52 | 3.64 |
| Pinnacle | 1.94 | 3.40 | 3.36 |
| SBO | 1.87 | 3.16 | 3.35 |
| Superbet | 1.97 | 3.55 | 3.60 |
| Unibet | 2.02 | 3.40 | 3.55 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.40 | 3.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .