Brann
vs
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Brann
2 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps FC
| Probability | Brann | Draw | Lincoln Red Imps FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 65.7% | 21.2% | 13.1% |
| Market | 81.5% | 12.4% | 6.1% |
| Final | 77.6% | 14.6% | 7.9% |
| Edge | -15.8% | +8.8% | +7.0% |
Why Brann
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.92 vs 0.91.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.17, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps FC match preview
Brann enters the match against Lincoln Red Imps FC with a strong probability of winning at 66%, while the visitors have a 13% chance of victory. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-0 in favor of Brann, which aligns with their expected goals of 2.14 compared to Lincoln's 0.87. Additionally, there is a 58% likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match, and both teams have a 52% chance of scoring.
In terms of recent form, Brann has recorded two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches, while Lincoln Red Imps FC has managed one win, two losses, two draws, and one loss in the same timeframe. The confidence grade for this matchup is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the model's predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Brann and Lincoln Red Imps FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.83
Brann and Lincoln Red Imps FC attack and defence ratings
Brann
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other League Stage - 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Brann | 77.6% | 1.29 | -15.8% | 1.17 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.0% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 92.1% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.8% | 2.51 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Brann | 77.6% |
| Draw | 14.6% | |
| Lincoln Red Imps FC | 7.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.2% |
| No | 47.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 92.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 85.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 22.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Brann win | 36.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.5% | |
| Loss | 39.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.3% |
| 1-1 | 10.1% | |
| 2-1 | 9.8% |
Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps FC stats
Brann and Lincoln Red Imps FC recent form
| Brann |
LWWLLD |
| Lincoln Red Imps FC |
WLLDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Brann and Lincoln Red Imps FC season so far
Brann record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps FC head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 81.5%, draw 12.4%, away 6.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.15 | 8.75 | 18.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.14 | 7.50 | 15.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.12 | 7.50 | 17.00 |
| Betano | 1.17 | 7.60 | 15.50 |
| Betfair | 1.11 | 8.50 | 17.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.16 | 8.20 | 15.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.14 | 7.50 | 16.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.15 | 8.02 | 15.03 |
| SBO | 1.12 | 6.47 | 10.60 |
| William Hill | 1.17 | 6.00 | 13.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .