UEFA Europa Conference League · Full time ·League Stage - 1

Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps FC

2 – 1 Full time

6′Neraysho Kasanwirjo
23′Neraysho Kasanwirjo
56′Gabri Garcia
59′K. Gomez
61′Gabri Garcia
61′Gabri Garcia
64′N. Castro
66′T. PedersenJ. Torsvik
67′T. GarciaY. Flalhi Idrissi
67′K. GomezManu
71′N. WassbergN. Holm
73′Niklas Castro
77′A. Romero MorilloF. Alvarez
81′N. Castro
82′N. CastroK. Eriksen
84′MandiN. Pinto

Brann Stadion, BergenReferee: D. Cerny

Brann 77%
Draw 14%
Lincoln Red Imps FC 8%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

19 Shots 7
10 Shots on target 3
72 Possession % 28
17 Corners 2
12 Fouls 15
6 Offsides 2
2 Saves 7
515 Accurate passes 157

Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBrannDrawLincoln Red Imps FC
Model60.2%23.7%16.1%
Market83.3%11.2%5.6%
Final77.5%14.3%8.2%
Edge-5.8%+3.1%+2.6%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Brann

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.92 vs 0.91.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Brann ↓ / Lincoln Red Im → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 10% 11% 2 11% 10% 3 7% 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 54%
No goals 7%

Brann and Lincoln Red Imps FC expected goals

Brann 1.92
Lincoln Red Imps FC 0.91

Total expected goals: 2.83

Brann and Lincoln Red Imps FC attack and defence ratings

Brann

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Lincoln Red Imps FC

Attack 0.81 -19%
Defence 1.07 +7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps FC: result vs prediction

Brann 2 – 1 Lincoln Red Imps FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other League Stage - 1 fixtures

UEFA Europa Conference League

Before and after this match

Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Brann 77.5% 1.29 -5.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 53.8% 1.86 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.0% 1.92 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 91.8% 1.09 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 39.9% 2.51 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Brann77.5%
Draw14.3%
Lincoln Red Imps FC8.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.553.8%
Under 2.546.2%
Both teams to scoreYes52.0%
No48.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)91.8%
12 (either side)85.7%
X2 (draw or away)22.5%
Handicap -1Brann win36.6%
Push (exactly one goal)23.5%
Loss39.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.3%
2-010.9%
1-010.3%

Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps FC stats

Brann and Lincoln Red Imps FC recent form

newest first
Brann LWWLLD
Lincoln Red Imps FC WLLDDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Brann and Lincoln Red Imps FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Brann record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps FC head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 83.3%, draw 11.2%, away 5.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.15 8.75 18.50
Bet365 1.14 8.50 15.00
BetVictor 1.12 8.00 18.00
Betano 1.17 8.50 18.50
Betfair 1.12 8.50 17.00
Dafabet 1.15 8.80 17.00
Marathonbet 1.14 7.50 16.00
Pinnacle 1.15 8.86 18.31
SBO 1.13 7.34 13.00
William Hill 1.14 7.50 17.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.14 ▼ -0.01
X 8.50 ▲ +0.95
2 17.00 ▲ +1.73

14 snapshots recorded, from .