Lincoln Red Imps FC
vs
Twente
Garuda Lions Prediction: Twente
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Twente overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Twente
| Probability | Lincoln Red Imps FC | Draw | Twente |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.8% | 24.3% | 52.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 22.8% | 24.3% | 52.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Twente
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.92 vs 1.21.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Twente match preview
Lincoln Red Imps FC will face Twente in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with kickoff scheduled for October 22, 2026. According to our model, Lincoln Red Imps FC has a 23% chance of winning, while Twente is favored at 53%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, occurring with a 10% probability. The expected goals for Lincoln Red Imps FC stand at 1.21, compared to Twente's 1.92.
In terms of recent form, Lincoln Red Imps FC has recorded one win, two losses, and two draws in their last six matches, while Twente has been in strong form with five wins and one draw. The model indicates a 60% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance for both teams to score. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Lincoln Red Imps FC and Twente expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.12
Lincoln Red Imps FC and Twente attack and defence ratings
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Twente
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other League Stage - 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Twente markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Twente | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.4% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.8% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.1% | 2.12 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 22.8% |
| Draw | 24.3% | |
| Twente | 52.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.8% |
| No | 39.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 47.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 77.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Twente win | 31.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 47.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.2% |
| 1-2 | 9.8% | |
| 0-2 | 8.1% |
Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Twente stats
Lincoln Red Imps FC and Twente recent form
| Lincoln Red Imps FC |
WLLDDL |
| Twente |
WWWDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.