Lincoln Red Imps FC
vs
Twente
1 – 4 Full time
| 19′ | T. van den Belt | ||
| 24′ | W. Weghorst | ||
| 37′ | Ruud Nijstad | ||
| 38′ | Nano | ||
| 43′ | Younes Taha | ||
| 57′ | T. van den Belt | ||
| 58′ | Y. TahaK. Hlynsson | ||
| 58′ | M. PjacaS. Orjasaeter | ||
| 63′ | A. Romero MorilloT. Garcia | ||
| 63′ | K. GomezManu | ||
| 77′ | A. MulaF. Alvarez | ||
| 77′ | R. ZerroukiD. Weidmann | ||
| 77′ | T. van den BeltJ. Bawuah | ||
| 83′ | Y. Flalhi IdrissiN. Pinto | ||
| 85′ | R. PropperJ. Meilink | ||
| 90′ | D. Weidmann |
Match stats
| 5 | Shots | 26 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 29 | Possession % | 71 |
| 1 | Corners | 6 |
| 8 | Fouls | 17 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 4 | Saves | 1 |
| 204 | Accurate passes | 633 |
Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Twente overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Twente
| Probability | Lincoln Red Imps FC | Draw | Twente |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.2% | 27.4% | 47.4% |
| Market | 7.3% | 13.5% | 79.2% |
| Final | 11.8% | 17.0% | 71.3% |
| Edge | +4.5% | +3.5% | -7.9% |
Why Twente
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.60 vs 1.09.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Lincoln Red Imps FC and Twente expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.69
Lincoln Red Imps FC and Twente attack and defence ratings
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Twente
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Twente: result vs prediction
Lincoln Red Imps FC 1 – 4 Twente
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other League Stage - 2 fixtures
- Kairat Almaty v Panathinaikos — match page
- FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia — team news & stats
- Getafe vs FC Lugano — team news & stats
- FK Crvena Zvezda v FC Copenhagen — match page
- Trabzonspor vs Heart Of Midlothian — team news & stats
- FK Jablonec v Brighton — match page
- Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Universitatea Craiova
- Pafos vs Riga
Before and after this match
Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Twente markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Twente | 71.3% | 1.40 | -7.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.2% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 88.2% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 11.8% |
| Draw | 17.0% | |
| Twente | 71.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.2% |
| No | 45.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 28.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 83.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 88.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Twente win | 25.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.3% | |
| Loss | 52.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.1% |
| 0-1 | 9.6% | |
| 1-2 | 9.4% |
Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Twente stats
Lincoln Red Imps FC and Twente recent form
| Lincoln Red Imps FC |
LWLLDD |
| Twente |
LWDWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Lincoln Red Imps FC and Twente going into this match
Twente record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.8 goals per match.
Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Twente head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Twente odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 7.3%, draw 13.5%, away 79.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 15.00 | 7.60 | 1.19 |
| Bet365 | 12.00 | 7.00 | 1.20 |
| BetVictor | 13.00 | 7.00 | 1.17 |
| Betano | 13.00 | 7.30 | 1.23 |
| Betfair | 13.00 | 6.50 | 1.17 |
| Dafabet | 13.00 | 7.40 | 1.21 |
| Marathonbet | 13.50 | 6.75 | 1.17 |
| Pinnacle | 13.21 | 7.30 | 1.20 |
| SBO | 8.30 | 5.42 | 1.19 |
| William Hill | 13.00 | 6.50 | 1.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .