Larne
vs
Glentoran
2 – 1 Full time
| 30′ | M. Kane | ||
| 34′ | J. Stewart | ||
| 41′ | J. Douglas | ||
| 43′ | J. KellyJ. Malone | ||
| 51′ | S. Graham | ||
| 62′ | B. GallagherJ. Jenkins | ||
| 72′ | M. Lusty | ||
| 79′ | S. GrahamJ. Simpson | ||
| 79′ | P. O'NeillK. O'Hara | ||
| 79′ | J. DouglasR. Clarke | ||
| 83′ | R. DohertyM. Randall | ||
| 83′ | D. SloanJ. McEneff | ||
| 87′ | Larne | ||
| 88′ | M. LustyM. Gibson | ||
| 88′ | A. McEneff |
Larne vs Glentoran overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Larne vs Glentoran
| Probability | Larne | Draw | Glentoran |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.9% | 28.7% | 40.4% |
| Market | 38.0% | 28.4% | 33.6% |
| Final | 36.2% | 28.5% | 35.3% |
| Edge | -7.1% | +0.3% | +6.7% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Larne and Glentoran expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.60
Larne and Glentoran attack and defence ratings
Larne
Glentoran
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Larne vs Glentoran: result vs prediction
Larne 2 – 1 Glentoran
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Larne vs Glentoran markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Larne | 36.2% | 2.76 | -7.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Larne | 36.2% |
| Draw | 28.5% | |
| Glentoran | 35.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.0% |
| No | 46.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Larne win | 13.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.6% | |
| Loss | 69.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.7% |
| 0-1 | 9.1% | |
| 1-2 | 8.7% |
Larne vs Glentoran stats
Larne and Glentoran recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Larne and Glentoran going into this match
Glentoran record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Larne vs Glentoran head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-17 | Glentoran | Larne | Northern Ireland Premiership | 0-0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Glentoran | Larne | Irish Cup | 1-1 |
| 2026-02-10 | Larne | Glentoran | Northern Ireland Premiership | 2-2 |
| 2026-01-13 | Glentoran | Larne | Northern Ireland Premiership | 1-4 |
| 2025-12-12 | Larne | Glentoran | Northern Ireland Premiership | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-26 | Larne | Glentoran | Premiership | 0-0 |
| 2025-03-18 | Glentoran | Larne | Premiership | 2-2 |
| 2024-11-02 | Glentoran | Larne | Premiership | 0-2 |
| 2024-09-20 | Larne | Glentoran | Premiership | 2-0 |
| 2024-04-16 | Glentoran | Larne | Premiership | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Larne vs Glentoran odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 38.0%, draw 28.4%, away 33.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.40 | 3.20 | 2.70 |
| 1xBet | 2.36 | 3.20 | 2.67 |
| Bet365 | 2.38 | 3.20 | 2.70 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 2.80 | 2.50 |
| Betano | 2.42 | 3.25 | 2.70 |
| Betfair | 2.38 | 3.10 | 2.70 |
| Dafabet | 2.48 | 3.30 | 2.75 |
| Marathonbet | 2.36 | 3.15 | 2.71 |
| Pinnacle | 2.48 | 3.37 | 2.86 |
| Superbet | 2.45 | 3.20 | 2.72 |
| Unibet | 2.30 | 3.25 | 2.65 |
| William Hill | 2.40 | 3.25 | 2.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .