Northern Ireland Premiership · Full time ·Matchday 6

Glentoran vs Bangor

1 – 1 Full time

17′R. Cooney
38′L. Francis
46′H. LynchS. McGuinness
46′E. Schilte-BrownJ. Douglas
46′B. GallagherG. Sloggett
52′Z. Ibsen RossiD. Larmour
56′J. Douglas
57′I. HughesL. Harrison
68′R. ClarkeJ. Jenkins
69′J. BoydB. Arthurs
80′M. StrachanO. Devlin
83′J. MaloneJ. Daniels

The BetMcLean Oval, BelfastReferee: S. Andrews

Glentoran 75%
Draw 16%
Bangor 9%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Glentoran vs Bangor overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Glentoran vs Bangor

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGlentoranDrawBangor
Model68.3%20.8%11.0%
Market77.1%14.7%8.2%
Final74.9%16.2%8.9%
Edge-8.8%+6.0%+2.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Glentoran

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.12 vs 0.74.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Glentoran ↓ / Bangor → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 11% 10% 2 13% 10% 3 9% 7% 4+ 8%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 54%
No goals 7%

Glentoran and Bangor expected goals

Glentoran 2.12
Bangor 0.74

Total expected goals: 2.86

Glentoran and Bangor attack and defence ratings

Glentoran

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Bangor

Attack 0.56 -44%
Defence 1.32 +32%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Glentoran vs Bangor: result vs prediction

Glentoran 1 – 1 Bangor

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Northern Ireland Premiership

Before and after this match

Glentoran vs Bangor markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Glentoran 74.9% 1.34 -8.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 54.4% 1.84 — —
Both teams to score No 53.1% 1.88 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 91.1% 1.10 — —
Handicap -1 Glentoran win 44.7% 2.24 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Glentoran74.9%
Draw16.2%
Bangor8.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.554.4%
Under 2.545.6%
Both teams to scoreYes46.9%
No53.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)91.1%
12 (either side)83.8%
X2 (draw or away)25.1%
Handicap -1Glentoran win44.7%
Push (exactly one goal)23.6%
Loss31.7%
Correct score (top 3)2-012.9%
1-011.3%
1-19.9%

Glentoran vs Bangor stats

Glentoran and Bangor recent form

newest first
Glentoran LLWLWL
Bangor LDLLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Glentoran and Bangor going into this match

league record before kick-off

Glentoran record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Bangor record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 5 matches.

Glentoran vs Bangor head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

3Glentoran wins 1Draws 1Bangor wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-10BangorGlentoranNorthern Ireland Premiership0-4
2025-11-28BangorGlentoranNorthern Ireland Premiership1-1
2025-08-16GlentoranBangorNorthern Ireland Premiership1-0
2025-02-28BangorGlentoranIrish Cup3-1
2023-07-08GlentoranBangorFriendlies Clubs4-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Glentoran vs Bangor odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 77.3%, draw 14.6%, away 8.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.17 6.25 11.40
Bet365 1.17 6.25 12.00
BetVictor 1.15 4.60 8.50
Betano 1.22 5.60 10.75
Betfair 1.15 6.00 12.00
Dafabet 1.19 6.20 13.00
Marathonbet 1.16 6.25 11.00
Pinnacle 1.21 6.99 11.07
William Hill 1.20 6.00 11.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.17 —
X 6.12 ▲ +0.12
2 11.04 ▼ -1.96

9 snapshots recorded, from .