Carrick Rangers
vs
Cliftonville FC
1 – 3 Full time
| 6′ | Cliftonville FC | ||
| 11′ | C. Hawthorne | ||
| 15′ | K. McClelland | ||
| 36′ | B. Quinn | ||
| 45′ | Cliftonville FC | ||
| 62′ | D. O'ConchubhairA. Lecky | ||
| 70′ | A. Steele | ||
| 70′ | Carrick Rangers | ||
| 76′ | N. MaciulaitisJ. Hastings | ||
| 85′ | C. HawthorneJ. Moore | ||
| 90′ | K. Cherry | ||
| 90′ | D. McMaster |
Carrick Rangers vs Cliftonville FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Carrick Rangers vs Cliftonville FC
| Probability | Carrick Rangers | Draw | Cliftonville FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.1% | 25.2% | 21.7% |
| Market | 44.2% | 25.8% | 30.0% |
| Final | 46.4% | 25.6% | 27.9% |
| Edge | +8.8% | -0.5% | -8.3% |
Why Carrick Rangers
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.81 vs 1.09.
- The market prices Carrick Rangers below the model: +8.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Carrick Rangers and Cliftonville FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.90
Carrick Rangers and Cliftonville FC attack and defence ratings
Carrick Rangers
Cliftonville FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Carrick Rangers vs Cliftonville FC: result vs prediction
Carrick Rangers 1 – 3 Cliftonville FC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Carrick Rangers vs Cliftonville FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Carrick Rangers | 46.4% | 2.15 | +8.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Carrick Rangers | 46.4% |
| Draw | 25.6% | |
| Cliftonville FC | 27.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.6% |
| No | 43.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Carrick Rangers win | 30.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.5% | |
| Loss | 46.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | |
| 2-0 | 9.0% |
Carrick Rangers vs Cliftonville FC stats
Carrick Rangers and Cliftonville FC recent form
| Carrick Rangers |
LWLWWL |
| Cliftonville FC |
WLLWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Carrick Rangers and Cliftonville FC going into this match
Carrick Rangers record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Cliftonville FC record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
Carrick Rangers vs Cliftonville FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | Cliftonville FC | Carrick Rangers | Northern Ireland Premiership | 1-4 |
| 2025-10-25 | Carrick Rangers | Cliftonville FC | Northern Ireland Premiership | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-06 | Carrick Rangers | Cliftonville FC | Northern Ireland Premiership | 1-2 |
| 2025-04-01 | Carrick Rangers | Cliftonville FC | Premiership | 1-3 |
| 2025-03-22 | Cliftonville FC | Carrick Rangers | Premiership | 3-0 |
| 2025-02-12 | Cliftonville FC | Carrick Rangers | Premiership | 3-0 |
| 2024-10-05 | Carrick Rangers | Cliftonville FC | Premiership | 2-0 |
| 2024-01-26 | Carrick Rangers | Cliftonville FC | Premiership | 0-1 |
| 2023-11-19 | Carrick Rangers | Cliftonville FC | Premiership | 0-3 |
| 2023-08-19 | Cliftonville FC | Carrick Rangers | Premiership | 4-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Carrick Rangers vs Cliftonville FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.3%, draw 25.8%, away 29.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.05 | 3.54 | 3.04 |
| 888Sport | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.93 | 3.10 | 2.80 |
| Betano | 2.07 | 3.55 | 3.05 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
| Dafabet | 2.04 | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| Marathonbet | 2.03 | 3.54 | 2.99 |
| Pinnacle | 2.13 | 3.83 | 3.12 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .