Ballymena United
vs
Carrick Rangers
1 – 1 Full time
| 11′ | C. McKee | ||
| 46′ | J. ArcherS. Edogun | ||
| 46′ | F. ThorndikeS. Murray | ||
| 46′ | I. Rutkowski | ||
| 52′ | C. Hawthorne | ||
| 54′ | A. Steele | ||
| 55′ | Carrick Rangers | ||
| 59′ | Ballymena United | ||
| 59′ | C. HawthorneB. Burns | ||
| 67′ | Carrick Rangers | ||
| 67′ | J. HoodM. Leetch | ||
| 70′ | S. EdogunC. McConnell | ||
| 72′ | K. Nelson | ||
| 82′ | K. Lyons-FosterS. Whiteside | ||
| 90′ | M. Glynn |
Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers
| Probability | Ballymena United | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.6% | 24.8% | 42.6% |
| Market | 39.1% | 25.5% | 35.4% |
| Final | 37.5% | 25.3% | 37.2% |
| Edge | -6.5% | -0.8% | +7.2% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ballymena United and Carrick Rangers expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.32
Ballymena United and Carrick Rangers attack and defence ratings
Ballymena United
Carrick Rangers
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers: result vs prediction
Ballymena United 1 – 1 Carrick Rangers
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ballymena United | 37.5% | 2.67 | -6.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ballymena United | 37.5% |
| Draw | 25.3% | |
| Carrick Rangers | 37.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.3% |
| No | 33.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ballymena United win | 16.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.6% | |
| Loss | 67.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.9% |
| 1-2 | 8.8% | |
| 2-1 | 7.6% |
Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers stats
Ballymena United and Carrick Rangers recent form
| Ballymena United |
LDLLWL |
| Carrick Rangers |
LLWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ballymena United and Carrick Rangers going into this match
Ballymena United record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
Carrick Rangers record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Carrick Rangers | Ballymena United | Friendlies Clubs | 0-3 |
| 2026-04-11 | Carrick Rangers | Ballymena United | Northern Ireland Premiership | 2-3 |
| 2026-03-14 | Ballymena United | Carrick Rangers | Northern Ireland Premiership | 2-1 |
| 2025-12-20 | Ballymena United | Carrick Rangers | Northern Ireland Premiership | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-04 | Carrick Rangers | Ballymena United | Northern Ireland Premiership | 1-2 |
| 2025-04-12 | Ballymena United | Carrick Rangers | Premiership | 1-1 |
| 2025-01-18 | Carrick Rangers | Ballymena United | Premiership | 0-0 |
| 2024-11-30 | Ballymena United | Carrick Rangers | Premiership | 1-2 |
| 2024-09-17 | Carrick Rangers | Ballymena United | Premiership | 1-4 |
| 2024-04-13 | Carrick Rangers | Ballymena United | Premiership | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 39.1%, draw 25.5%, away 35.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.29 | 3.52 | 2.51 |
| Bet365 | 2.35 | 3.30 | 2.60 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.10 | 2.38 |
| Betano | 2.35 | 3.60 | 2.57 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.60 |
| Marathonbet | 2.29 | 3.52 | 2.51 |
| Pinnacle | 2.37 | 3.98 | 2.65 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .