Portadown
vs
Linfield
1 – 1 Full time
| 26′ | K. McClean | ||
| 68′ | K. MooreC. Chapman | ||
| 71′ | K. MillarD. Wells | ||
| 71′ | A. FrizzellR. Brennan | ||
| 76′ | E. FyfeC. Falls | ||
| 83′ | B. Kennedy | ||
| 85′ | Portadown | ||
| 86′ | Portadown | ||
| 87′ | B. KennedyA. Towe |
Portadown vs Linfield overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Portadown vs Linfield
| Probability | Portadown | Draw | Linfield |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 18.5% | 28.2% | 53.2% |
| Market | 12.6% | 19.9% | 67.4% |
| Final | 14.1% | 22.0% | 63.9% |
| Edge | +5.9% | +8.3% | -14.2% |
Why Linfield
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.53 vs 0.80.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Portadown and Linfield expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.33
Portadown and Linfield attack and defence ratings
Portadown
Linfield
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Portadown vs Linfield: result vs prediction
Portadown 1 – 1 Linfield
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Portadown vs Linfield markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Linfield | 63.9% | 1.57 | -14.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 85.9% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.8% | 2.14 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Portadown | 14.1% |
| Draw | 22.0% | |
| Linfield | 63.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.4% |
| No | 55.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 36.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 85.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Linfield win | 28.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.8% | |
| Loss | 46.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 13.7% |
| 1-1 | 13.1% | |
| 0-2 | 11.3% |
Portadown vs Linfield stats
Portadown and Linfield recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Portadown and Linfield going into this match
Portadown record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.0 at home.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Linfield record
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- 70% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Portadown vs Linfield head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-10 | Linfield | Portadown | Northern Ireland Premiership | 3-1 |
| 2025-10-17 | Portadown | Linfield | Northern Ireland Premiership | 2-0 |
| 2025-09-06 | Linfield | Portadown | Northern Ireland Premiership | 3-0 |
| 2025-01-18 | Portadown | Linfield | Premiership | 1-3 |
| 2024-11-30 | Linfield | Portadown | Premiership | 2-1 |
| 2024-08-30 | Portadown | Linfield | Premiership | 2-2 |
| 2024-03-10 | Linfield | Portadown | League Cup | 3-1 |
| 2023-01-28 | Portadown | Linfield | Premiership | 1-6 |
| 2022-11-05 | Portadown | Linfield | Premiership | 0-3 |
| 2022-08-14 | Linfield | Portadown | Premiership | 4-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Portadown vs Linfield odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 12.6%, draw 19.9%, away 67.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 7.55 | 4.50 | 1.33 |
| Bet365 | 7.00 | 4.50 | 1.33 |
| BetVictor | 6.00 | 3.80 | 1.30 |
| Betano | 6.80 | 4.35 | 1.40 |
| Betfair | 8.00 | 4.50 | 1.30 |
| Marathonbet | 7.20 | 4.50 | 1.32 |
| Pinnacle | 7.51 | 4.96 | 1.38 |
| William Hill | 7.00 | 4.60 | 1.36 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .