Northern Ireland Premiership · Full time ·Matchday 6

Dungannon Swifts vs Linfield

0 – 1 Full time

31′I. Baird
32′J. Glackin
46′J. Scott
49′K. MillarD. Wells
65′K. NelsonK. Offord
65′K. MooreR. Brennan
69′B. Hall
73′S. McAllister
76′J. Ogedi-UzokweA. Mitchell
76′S. McAllisterL. Alves
82′K. McClean
84′J. GlackinC. Smith
84′S. GordonK. Lowe
90′P. DoyleC. McGinty

Stangmore Park, DungannonReferee: L. Thompson

Dungannon Swifts 29%
Draw 27%
Linfield 44%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Dungannon Swifts vs Linfield overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Dungannon Swifts vs Linfield

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDungannon SwiftsDrawLinfield
Model33.1%29.4%37.6%
Market27.5%26.3%46.3%
Final28.9%27.1%44.1%
Edge+5.6%+3.1%-8.7%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Dungannon Swif ↓ / Linfield → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 9% 1 8% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 73%
3+ goals 46%
No goals 9%

Dungannon Swifts and Linfield expected goals

Dungannon Swifts 1.21
Linfield 1.31

Total expected goals: 2.52

Dungannon Swifts and Linfield attack and defence ratings

Dungannon Swifts

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Linfield

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Dungannon Swifts vs Linfield: result vs prediction

Dungannon Swifts 0 – 1 Linfield

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Northern Ireland Premiership

Before and after this match

Dungannon Swifts vs Linfield markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Linfield 44.1% 2.27 -8.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 53.8% 1.86 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.6% 1.90 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.9% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 62.4% 1.60 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Dungannon Swifts28.9%
Draw27.1%
Linfield44.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.546.2%
Under 2.553.8%
Both teams to scoreYes52.6%
No47.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)55.9%
12 (either side)72.9%
X2 (draw or away)71.1%
Handicap -1Linfield win17.5%
Push (exactly one goal)20.1%
Loss62.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.0%
0-09.3%
0-19.2%

Dungannon Swifts vs Linfield stats

Dungannon Swifts and Linfield recent form

newest first
Dungannon Swifts WWWWLL
Linfield WWWWLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Dungannon Swifts and Linfield going into this match

league record before kick-off

Dungannon Swifts record

  • They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 5 matches.

Linfield record

  • They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.

Dungannon Swifts vs Linfield head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

0Dungannon Swifts wins 1Draws 9Linfield wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-12LinfieldDungannon SwiftsNorthern Ireland Premiership3-1
2026-04-07Dungannon SwiftsLinfieldNorthern Ireland Premiership1-3
2026-02-17Dungannon SwiftsLinfieldNorthern Ireland Premiership1-4
2026-02-10LinfieldDungannon SwiftsNorthern Ireland Premiership6-0
2025-08-10LinfieldDungannon SwiftsNorthern Ireland Premiership3-0
2025-07-04LinfieldDungannon SwiftsCharity Shield0-0
2025-04-12LinfieldDungannon SwiftsPremiership2-0
2025-03-24Dungannon SwiftsLinfieldPremiership0-3
2024-12-17Dungannon SwiftsLinfieldPremiership0-1
2024-08-17LinfieldDungannon SwiftsPremiership3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Dungannon Swifts vs Linfield odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 27.4%, draw 26.2%, away 46.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.36 3.40 1.97
888Sport 3.60 3.40 1.91
Bet365 3.20 3.50 1.95
BetVictor 3.10 3.13 1.80
Betano 3.30 3.50 2.00
Betfair 3.25 3.50 1.95
Dafabet 3.70 3.60 1.88
Marathonbet 3.30 3.40 1.95
Pinnacle 3.48 3.59 2.06
William Hill 3.30 3.30 2.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.30 ▼ -0.30
X 3.45 ▼ -0.15
2 1.96 ▲ +0.04

14 snapshots recorded, from .