Northern Ireland Premiership
·
Full time
·Matchday 7
Crusaders FC
vs
Dungannon Swifts
3 – 0 Full time
| 3′ | R. Weir | ||
| 22′ | J. Scott | ||
| 67′ | D. Dunne | ||
| 68′ | L. AlvesA. Henderson | ||
| 72′ | J. DohertyL. Anderson | ||
| 75′ | R. Weir | ||
| 76′ | A. ReidT. Maguire | ||
| 78′ | T. KellyS. Gordon | ||
| 78′ | J. GlackinC. Smith | ||
| 83′ | D. Wallace | ||
| 84′ | J. ScottK. Dillon | ||
| 84′ | J. Ogedi-UzokweA. Mitchell | ||
| 87′ | S. Rough | ||
| 90′ | S. Rough | ||
| 90′ | T. Maguire | ||
| 90′ | L. Anderson |
Crusaders FC
31%
Draw
26%
Dungannon Swifts
43%
Crusaders FC vs Dungannon Swifts overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Crusaders FC vs Dungannon Swifts
| Probability | Crusaders FC | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.5% | 25.2% | 31.4% |
| Market | 27.0% | 25.8% | 47.2% |
| Final | 31.1% | 25.6% | 43.3% |
| Edge | +16.5% | -0.6% | -15.9% |
Why Dungannon Swifts
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
84%
3+ goals
62%
No goals
5%
Crusaders FC and Dungannon Swifts expected goals
Crusaders FC
1.75
Dungannon Swifts
1.47
Total expected goals: 3.22
Crusaders FC and Dungannon Swifts attack and defence ratings
Crusaders FC
Attack
1.11 +11%
Defence
1.24 +24%
Dungannon Swifts
Attack
0.86 -14%
Defence
1.02 +2%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Crusaders FC vs Dungannon Swifts: result vs prediction
Crusaders FC 3 – 0 Dungannon Swifts
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Crusaders FC vs Dungannon Swifts markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dungannon Swifts | 43.3% | 2.31 | -15.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Crusaders FC | 31.1% |
| Draw | 25.6% | |
| Dungannon Swifts | 43.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.6% |
| No | 35.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 56.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dungannon Swifts win | 15.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.4% | |
| Loss | 68.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.3% |
| 2-1 | 9.0% | |
| 1-2 | 7.5% |
Crusaders FC vs Dungannon Swifts stats
Crusaders FC and Dungannon Swifts recent form
| Crusaders FC |
LLWWWL |
| Dungannon Swifts |
LWWWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Crusaders FC and Dungannon Swifts going into this match
Crusaders FC record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Dungannon Swifts record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Crusaders FC vs Dungannon Swifts head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
4Crusaders FC wins
2Draws
4Dungannon Swifts wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-03 | Crusaders FC | Dungannon Swifts | Northern Ireland Premiership | 2-0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Dungannon Swifts | Crusaders FC | Northern Ireland Premiership | 2-0 |
| 2025-09-13 | Dungannon Swifts | Crusaders FC | Northern Ireland Premiership | 0-3 |
| 2025-04-26 | Dungannon Swifts | Crusaders FC | Premiership | 1-0 |
| 2025-01-11 | Crusaders FC | Dungannon Swifts | Premiership | 1-5 |
| 2024-12-03 | Crusaders FC | Dungannon Swifts | League Cup | 4-2 |
| 2024-11-30 | Crusaders FC | Dungannon Swifts | Premiership | 2-2 |
| 2024-09-17 | Dungannon Swifts | Crusaders FC | Premiership | 1-0 |
| 2024-02-10 | Dungannon Swifts | Crusaders FC | Premiership | 2-2 |
| 2023-10-21 | Dungannon Swifts | Crusaders FC | Premiership | 1-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Crusaders FC vs Dungannon Swifts odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 27.0%, draw 25.8%, away 47.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.40 | 3.48 | 1.91 |
| Bet365 | 3.30 | 3.50 | 1.85 |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.20 | 1.80 |
| Betano | 3.35 | 3.50 | 1.98 |
| Betfair | 3.30 | 3.60 | 1.90 |
| Marathonbet | 3.32 | 3.48 | 1.89 |
| Pinnacle | 3.53 | 3.73 | 2.00 |
| William Hill | 3.40 | 3.40 | 1.95 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
3.33 ▼ -0.04
X
3.49 ▼ -0.04
2
1.90 ▼ -0.03
6 snapshots recorded, from .