Larne
vs
Cliftonville FC
2 – 0 Full time
| 13′ | M. Lusty | ||
| 38′ | M. Lusty | ||
| 50′ | L. McStravick | ||
| 73′ | P. O'NeillL. Millar | ||
| 73′ | D. SloanJ. McEneff | ||
| 82′ | M. LustyM. Gibson | ||
| 82′ | R. DohertyJ. Simpson | ||
| 88′ | Larne |
Larne vs Cliftonville FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Larne vs Cliftonville FC
| Probability | Larne | Draw | Cliftonville FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.0% | 29.1% | 28.9% |
| Market | 56.5% | 24.1% | 19.4% |
| Final | 52.9% | 25.3% | 21.8% |
| Edge | -14.5% | +5.0% | +9.5% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Larne and Cliftonville FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.53
Larne and Cliftonville FC attack and defence ratings
Larne
Cliftonville FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Larne vs Cliftonville FC: result vs prediction
Larne 2 – 0 Cliftonville FC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Larne vs Cliftonville FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Larne | 52.9% | 1.89 | -14.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Larne | 52.9% |
| Draw | 25.3% | |
| Cliftonville FC | 21.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.2% |
| No | 47.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Larne win | 20.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 58.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.9% |
| 1-0 | 9.9% | |
| 0-0 | 9.3% |
Larne vs Cliftonville FC stats
Larne and Cliftonville FC recent form
| Larne |
WWWLWD |
| Cliftonville FC |
WWLLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Larne and Cliftonville FC going into this match
Cliftonville FC record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
Larne vs Cliftonville FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | Larne | Cliftonville FC | Northern Ireland Premiership | 2-0 |
| 2025-12-30 | Larne | Cliftonville FC | Northern Ireland Premiership | 0-0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Cliftonville FC | Larne | Northern Ireland Premiership | 0-2 |
| 2025-08-19 | Cliftonville FC | Larne | Northern Ireland Premiership | 1-1 |
| 2025-01-14 | Larne | Cliftonville FC | League Cup | 0-1 |
| 2025-01-10 | Larne | Cliftonville FC | Premiership | 2-0 |
| 2024-12-01 | Larne | Cliftonville FC | Premiership | 1-1 |
| 2024-09-27 | Cliftonville FC | Larne | Premiership | 1-3 |
| 2024-07-05 | Larne | Cliftonville FC | Charity Shield | 2-1 |
| 2024-04-13 | Larne | Cliftonville FC | Premiership | 8-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Larne vs Cliftonville FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 56.5%, draw 24.1%, away 19.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.58 | 3.75 | 4.85 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 3.70 | 4.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 3.30 | 4.10 |
| Betano | 1.62 | 3.85 | 4.70 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 3.75 | 4.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.56 | 3.75 | 4.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.64 | 4.15 | 4.90 |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 3.80 | 4.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .