Northern Ireland Premiership · Full time ·Matchday 7

Limavady United vs Bangor

3 – 1 Full time

3′J. McGonigle
11′J. McGonigle
22′I. Hughes
23′J. McGonigle
46′R. NealeS. McCullough
49′P. Solis GroganL. McMahon
70′T. Mulvenna
77′J. BoydJ. O'Mahony
86′S. Lowry

Limavady Showgrounds, LimavadyReferee: N. Devlin

Limavady United 50%
Draw 26%
Bangor 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Limavady United vs Bangor overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Limavady United vs Bangor

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLimavady UnitedDrawBangor
Model49.0%29.7%21.3%
Market49.9%24.3%25.8%
Final49.6%25.7%24.7%
Edge-0.9%+5.4%-4.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Limavady United

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.41 vs 0.85.
  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 5 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Limavady Unite ↓ / Bangor → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 8% 1 13% 14% 2 10% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 67%
3+ goals 39%
No goals 12%

Limavady United and Bangor expected goals

Limavady United 1.41
Bangor 0.85

Total expected goals: 2.26

Limavady United and Bangor attack and defence ratings

Limavady United

Attack 0.73 -27%
Defence 1.10 +10%

Bangor

Attack 0.56 -44%
Defence 1.26 +26%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Limavady United vs Bangor: result vs prediction

Limavady United 3 – 1 Bangor

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Northern Ireland Premiership

Before and after this match

Limavady United vs Bangor markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Limavady United 49.6% 2.01 -0.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 60.6% 1.65 — —
Both teams to score No 55.4% 1.80 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.3% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 51.0% 1.96 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Limavady United49.6%
Draw25.7%
Bangor24.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539.4%
Under 2.560.6%
Both teams to scoreYes44.6%
No55.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.3%
12 (either side)74.3%
X2 (draw or away)50.4%
Handicap -1Limavady United win24.7%
Push (exactly one goal)24.2%
Loss51.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.7%
1-013.5%
0-011.6%

Limavady United vs Bangor stats

Limavady United and Bangor recent form

newest first
Limavady United WLLLL
Bangor DLDLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.

Limavady United and Bangor going into this match

league record before kick-off

Limavady United record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.

Bangor record

  • They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.

Limavady United vs Bangor head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Limavady United wins 3Draws 5Bangor wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-04-05Limavady UnitedBangorChampionship2-2
2025-01-10BangorLimavady UnitedChampionship1-0
2024-11-12Limavady UnitedBangorChampionship0-3
2024-08-31BangorLimavady UnitedChampionship1-3
2023-04-25BangorLimavady UnitedPremier Intermediate League2-2
2023-02-28BangorLimavady UnitedPremier Intermediate League1-0
2022-11-26Limavady UnitedBangorIrish Cup1-2
2022-08-27Limavady UnitedBangorPremier Intermediate League0-1
2022-04-30Limavady UnitedBangorPremier Intermediate League4-2
2022-04-02BangorLimavady UnitedPremier Intermediate League1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Limavady United vs Bangor odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 49.9%, draw 24.3%, away 25.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.81 3.70 3.54
Bet365 1.70 3.70 3.80
BetVictor 1.73 3.20 3.25
Betano 1.85 3.75 3.50
Betfair 1.80 3.60 3.60
Marathonbet 1.79 3.70 3.46
Pinnacle 1.94 4.01 3.48
William Hill 1.91 3.70 3.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.81 ▲ +0.08
X 3.70 ▼ -0.10
2 3.49 ▼ -0.26

4 snapshots recorded, from .