Garuda Lions
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Northern Ireland Premiership · Full time ·Matchday 8

Coleraine FC vs Limavady United

1 – 0 Full time

29′A. Mullan
42′J. Cooper
45′J. Cooper
46′P. LowryO. Duffy
62′S. DevineB. Wylie
62′L. McGregorJ. Henderson
70′A. MullanJ. Riley
70′S. CarlinA. Jarvis
75′A. BrooksM. Shevlin
85′B. DohertyL. Kane

The Showgrounds, ColeraineReferee: M. Dillon

Coleraine FC 76%
Draw 15%
Limavady United 9%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Coleraine FC vs Limavady United overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Coleraine FC vs Limavady United

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityColeraine FCDrawLimavady United
Model68.2%18.4%13.4%
Market78.1%13.7%8.2%
Final75.6%14.9%9.5%
Edge-9.9%+4.6%+5.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Coleraine FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.54 vs 1.08.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Coleraine FC ↓ / Limavady Unite → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 8% 2 9% 9% 5% 3 7% 8% 4+ 9% 9% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 88%
3+ goals 70%
No goals 3%

Coleraine FC and Limavady United expected goals

Coleraine FC 2.54
Limavady United 1.08

Total expected goals: 3.62

Coleraine FC and Limavady United attack and defence ratings

Coleraine FC

Attack 1.56 +56%
Defence 0.89 -11%

Limavady United

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 1.05 +5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Coleraine FC vs Limavady United: result vs prediction

Coleraine FC 1 – 0 Limavady United

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Northern Ireland Premiership

Before and after this match

Coleraine FC vs Limavady United markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Coleraine FC 75.6% 1.32 -9.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 70.1% 1.43 — —
Both teams to score Yes 61.7% 1.62 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 90.5% 1.10 — —
Handicap -1 Coleraine FC win 47.4% 2.11 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Coleraine FC75.6%
Draw14.9%
Limavady United9.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.570.1%
Under 2.529.9%
Both teams to scoreYes61.7%
No38.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)90.5%
12 (either side)85.1%
X2 (draw or away)24.4%
Handicap -1Coleraine FC win47.4%
Push (exactly one goal)20.8%
Loss31.8%
Correct score (top 3)2-19.3%
2-08.6%
1-18.1%

Coleraine FC vs Limavady United stats

Coleraine FC and Limavady United recent form

newest first
Coleraine FC WWWWWD
Limavady United WWLLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Coleraine FC and Limavady United going into this match

league record before kick-off

Coleraine FC record

  • They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.

Limavady United record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.

Coleraine FC vs Limavady United head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

6Coleraine FC wins 0Draws 0Limavady United wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-07Limavady UnitedColeraine FCFriendlies Clubs0-1
2026-03-07Limavady UnitedColeraine FCIrish Cup0-2
2025-07-19Limavady UnitedColeraine FCFriendlies Clubs2-4
2024-07-13Limavady UnitedColeraine FCFriendlies Clubs1-4
2023-07-15Limavady UnitedColeraine FCFriendlies Clubs1-4
2022-07-09Limavady UnitedColeraine FCFriendlies Clubs0-5

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Coleraine FC vs Limavady United odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 78.2%, draw 13.8%, away 8.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.14 6.70 11.20
Bet365 1.18 6.25 10.00
BetVictor 1.13 4.80 9.00
Betano 1.18 6.30 12.00
Betfair 1.12 7.00 14.00
Marathonbet 1.13 6.80 11.50
Pinnacle 1.19 7.48 11.61
William Hill 1.20 6.50 11.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.16 ▲ +0.02
X 6.60 ▼ -0.40
2 11.10 ▼ -1.90

6 snapshots recorded, from .