Dungannon Swifts
vs
Ballymena United
1 – 1 Full time
| 24′ | I. Rutkowski | ||
| 28′ | S. Whiteside | ||
| 32′ | J. HoodD. McCallion | ||
| 42′ | D. Wallace | ||
| 46′ | S. GordonK. Lowe | ||
| 46′ | T. KellyC. Smith | ||
| 46′ | C. McKeeM. Leetch | ||
| 46′ | M. GlynnF. Thorndike | ||
| 58′ | A. Glenny | ||
| 72′ | J. GlackinA. Mitchell |
Dungannon Swifts vs Ballymena United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Dungannon Swifts vs Ballymena United
| Probability | Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Ballymena United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.9% | 27.0% | 39.1% |
| Market | 44.0% | 26.9% | 29.1% |
| Final | 41.5% | 27.0% | 31.6% |
| Edge | -10.0% | +0.1% | +10.0% |
Why Dungannon Swifts
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Dungannon Swifts and Ballymena United expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.91
Dungannon Swifts and Ballymena United attack and defence ratings
Dungannon Swifts
Ballymena United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Dungannon Swifts vs Ballymena United: result vs prediction
Dungannon Swifts 1 – 1 Ballymena United
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Dungannon Swifts vs Ballymena United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dungannon Swifts | 41.5% | 2.41 | -10.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dungannon Swifts | 41.5% |
| Draw | 27.0% | |
| Ballymena United | 31.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.8% |
| No | 40.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dungannon Swifts win | 16.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.9% | |
| Loss | 66.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.7% |
| 1-2 | 8.7% | |
| 2-1 | 8.0% |
Dungannon Swifts vs Ballymena United stats
Dungannon Swifts and Ballymena United recent form
| Dungannon Swifts |
LLWWWW |
| Ballymena United |
DLDLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Dungannon Swifts and Ballymena United going into this match
Dungannon Swifts record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ballymena United record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
Dungannon Swifts vs Ballymena United head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | Dungannon Swifts | Ballymena United | Northern Ireland Premiership | 2-0 |
| 2025-12-06 | Ballymena United | Dungannon Swifts | Northern Ireland Premiership | 1-2 |
| 2025-09-27 | Ballymena United | Dungannon Swifts | Northern Ireland Premiership | 0-2 |
| 2025-03-08 | Dungannon Swifts | Ballymena United | Premiership | 0-3 |
| 2024-12-14 | Ballymena United | Dungannon Swifts | Premiership | 0-1 |
| 2024-08-24 | Dungannon Swifts | Ballymena United | Premiership | 1-0 |
| 2024-04-27 | Dungannon Swifts | Ballymena United | Premiership | 3-0 |
| 2024-01-13 | Ballymena United | Dungannon Swifts | Premiership | 2-4 |
| 2023-10-28 | Ballymena United | Dungannon Swifts | Premiership | 1-1 |
| 2023-09-30 | Dungannon Swifts | Ballymena United | Premiership | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Dungannon Swifts vs Ballymena United odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.0%, draw 26.9%, away 29.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.06 | 3.34 | 3.12 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 1.93 | 3.00 | 2.88 |
| Betano | 2.10 | 3.35 | 3.20 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
| Marathonbet | 2.04 | 3.34 | 3.05 |
| Pinnacle | 2.17 | 3.58 | 3.23 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .