Ballymena United
vs
Portadown
2 – 0 Full time
| 26′ | G. Thompson | ||
| 45′ | Ballymena United | ||
| 58′ | M. LeetchS. Murray | ||
| 63′ | F. Thorndike | ||
| 67′ | F. FlanaganJ. Scott | ||
| 77′ | G. ThompsonE. Fyfe | ||
| 77′ | M. CarsonJ. Teelan | ||
| 77′ | S. O'MahoneyA. Obhakhan | ||
| 82′ | I. Rutkowski | ||
| 84′ | B. KennedyC. Falls |
Ballymena United vs Portadown overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ballymena United vs Portadown
| Probability | Ballymena United | Draw | Portadown |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 58.3% | 23.4% | 18.3% |
| Market | 54.8% | 24.1% | 21.0% |
| Final | 55.7% | 23.9% | 20.4% |
| Edge | +3.5% | -0.7% | -2.8% |
Why Ballymena United
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.99 vs 1.04.
- The market prices Ballymena United below the model: +3.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ballymena United and Portadown expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.03
Ballymena United and Portadown attack and defence ratings
Ballymena United
Portadown
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Ballymena United vs Portadown: result vs prediction
Ballymena United 2 – 0 Portadown
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ballymena United vs Portadown markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ballymena United | 55.7% | 1.80 | +3.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.3% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 41.7% | 2.40 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ballymena United | 55.7% |
| Draw | 23.9% | |
| Portadown | 20.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.8% |
| No | 43.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ballymena United win | 35.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 41.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.6% |
Ballymena United vs Portadown stats
Ballymena United and Portadown recent form
| Ballymena United |
DDLDLL |
| Portadown |
LDLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ballymena United and Portadown going into this match
Ballymena United record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Portadown record
- They have won 0 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.2 at home.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ballymena United vs Portadown head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Ballymena United | Portadown | Northern Ireland Premiership | 1-2 |
| 2026-03-07 | Ballymena United | Portadown | Northern Ireland Premiership | 1-1 |
| 2025-12-13 | Portadown | Ballymena United | Northern Ireland Premiership | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-19 | Portadown | Ballymena United | Northern Ireland Premiership | 0-2 |
| 2025-04-26 | Portadown | Ballymena United | Premiership | 2-1 |
| 2025-02-22 | Ballymena United | Portadown | Premiership | 2-0 |
| 2024-11-01 | Ballymena United | Portadown | Premiership | 0-3 |
| 2024-09-28 | Portadown | Ballymena United | Premiership | 0-1 |
| 2023-07-25 | Portadown | Ballymena United | Friendlies Clubs | 2-1 |
| 2023-04-07 | Portadown | Ballymena United | Premiership | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Ballymena United vs Portadown odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 54.5%, draw 24.1%, away 21.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.63 | 3.75 | 4.42 |
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 3.75 | 4.20 |
| BetVictor | 1.57 | 3.30 | 3.80 |
| Betano | 1.67 | 3.80 | 4.30 |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.61 | 3.75 | 4.33 |
| Pinnacle | 1.69 | 4.12 | 4.56 |
| William Hill | 1.70 | 3.75 | 4.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .