Portadown
vs
Limavady United
3 – 1 Full time
| 4′ | R. BreenJ. Teelan | ||
| 7′ | T. Boorman | ||
| 12′ | M. Carson | ||
| 18′ | J. Teelan | ||
| 21′ | J. McGonigle | ||
| 25′ | Limavady United | ||
| 50′ | A. GastonL. Boyd | ||
| 60′ | F. FlanaganA. Towe | ||
| 60′ | L. ChapmanJ. Scott | ||
| 62′ | O. DuffyL. Tosh | ||
| 71′ | B. Altintop | ||
| 75′ | Limavady United | ||
| 75′ | B. Kennedy | ||
| 76′ | R. WilsonR. Boorman | ||
| 76′ | S. LowryS. Carlin | ||
| 80′ | B. Altintop | ||
| 84′ | T. Boorman | ||
| 90′ | L. Boyd |
Portadown vs Limavady United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Portadown vs Limavady United
| Probability | Portadown | Draw | Limavady United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.6% | 29.9% | 46.5% |
| Market | 33.3% | 25.6% | 41.1% |
| Final | 30.9% | 26.7% | 42.4% |
| Edge | -9.7% | +4.3% | +5.4% |
Why Limavady United
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.38 vs 0.92.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Limavady United below the model: +5.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Portadown and Limavady United expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.30
Portadown and Limavady United attack and defence ratings
Portadown
Limavady United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Portadown vs Limavady United: result vs prediction
Portadown 3 – 1 Limavady United
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Portadown vs Limavady United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Limavady United | 42.4% | 2.36 | +5.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Portadown | 30.9% |
| Draw | 26.7% | |
| Limavady United | 42.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.3% |
| No | 53.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 69.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Limavady United win | 23.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.5% | |
| Loss | 53.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.0% |
| 0-1 | 12.6% | |
| 0-0 | 11.3% |
Portadown vs Limavady United stats
Portadown and Limavady United recent form
| Portadown |
LLDLLL |
| Limavady United |
WLWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Portadown and Limavady United going into this match
Portadown record
- They have won 0 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They average 0.8 goals per game on the road against 0.2 at home.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Limavady United record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
Portadown vs Limavady United head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-01-08 | Portadown | Limavady United | Irish Cup | 2-0 |
| 2018-11-24 | Limavady United | Portadown | Championship | 2-2 |
| 2018-09-07 | Portadown | Limavady United | Championship | 2-2 |
| 2018-01-13 | Limavady United | Portadown | Championship | 1-1 |
| 2017-08-19 | Portadown | Limavady United | Championship | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Portadown vs Limavady United odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 33.3%, draw 25.6%, away 41.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.22 | 4.00 | 2.05 |
| Bet365 | 2.62 | 3.50 | 2.35 |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.13 | 1.83 |
| Betano | 2.77 | 3.65 | 2.18 |
| Betfair | 2.55 | 3.50 | 2.38 |
| Marathonbet | 2.58 | 3.44 | 2.27 |
| Pinnacle | 2.71 | 3.64 | 2.47 |
| William Hill | 3.10 | 3.70 | 2.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .