Northern Ireland Premiership · Full time ·Matchday 10

Bangor vs Coleraine FC

2 – 3 Full time

5′T. Mulvenna
22′M. Shevlin
45′W. Patching
46′C. Stewart
68′B. DohertyJ. Henderson
68′L. McGregorR. Slevin
73′S. McCulloughS. McGuinness
73′I. HughesM. Strachan
74′J. Thomson
80′B. ArthursL. McRoberts
80′R. SlevinA. Brooks
80′J. ThomsonB. Wylie
83′J. CooperS. Devine
86′L. HassinJ. Boyd
90′T. Mulvenna

Clandeboye Park, BangorReferee: I. McNabb

Bangor 11%
Draw 16%
Coleraine FC 73%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Bangor vs Coleraine FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Bangor vs Coleraine FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBangorDrawColeraine FC
Model15.9%20.4%63.6%
Market8.8%15.0%76.1%
Final10.6%16.4%73.0%
Edge+7.1%+5.4%-12.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Coleraine FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.32 vs 1.11.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Bangor ↓ / Coleraine FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 9% 7% 7% 1 9% 10% 7% 7% 2 5% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 66%
No goals 4%

Bangor and Coleraine FC expected goals

Bangor 1.11
Coleraine FC 2.32

Total expected goals: 3.42

Bangor and Coleraine FC attack and defence ratings

Bangor

Attack 0.75 -25%
Defence 1.24 +24%

Coleraine FC

Attack 1.40 +40%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Bangor vs Coleraine FC: result vs prediction

Bangor 2 – 3 Coleraine FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Northern Ireland Premiership

Before and after this match

Bangor vs Coleraine FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Coleraine FC 73.0% 1.37 -12.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 66.4% 1.51 — —
Both teams to score Yes 61.1% 1.64 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 89.4% 1.12 — —
Handicap -1 Coleraine FC win 42.1% 2.38 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Bangor10.6%
Draw16.4%
Coleraine FC73.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.566.4%
Under 2.533.6%
Both teams to scoreYes61.1%
No38.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)27.0%
12 (either side)83.6%
X2 (draw or away)89.4%
Handicap -1Coleraine FC win42.1%
Push (exactly one goal)21.6%
Loss36.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-29.7%
1-19.2%
0-28.8%

Bangor vs Coleraine FC stats

Bangor and Coleraine FC recent form

newest first
Bangor LWLDLD
Coleraine FC LWWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Bangor and Coleraine FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Bangor record

  • They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Coleraine FC record

  • They have won 7 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They average 2.5 goals per game on the road against 1.8 at home.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.

Bangor vs Coleraine FC head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1Bangor wins 0Draws 4Coleraine FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-31BangorColeraine FCNorthern Ireland Premiership0-2
2025-12-12Coleraine FCBangorNorthern Ireland Premiership2-0
2025-10-04BangorColeraine FCNorthern Ireland Premiership2-1
2023-10-03Coleraine FCBangorLeague Cup2-1
2021-09-14BangorColeraine FCLeague Cup0-5

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Bangor vs Coleraine FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 8.8%, draw 15.0%, away 76.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 12.00 7.02 1.22
Bet365 8.50 6.25 1.22
BetVictor 8.00 4.75 1.15
Betano 9.75 5.70 1.23
Betfair 11.00 6.00 1.15
Marathonbet 11.00 6.25 1.15
Pinnacle 9.84 6.66 1.23
William Hill 11.00 6.00 1.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 10.42 ▼ -0.58
X 6.12 ▲ +0.03
2 1.21 ▲ +0.04

13 snapshots recorded, from .