Linfield
vs
Bangor
Garuda Lions Prediction: Linfield
2 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
Linfield vs Bangor overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Linfield vs Bangor
| Probability | Linfield | Draw | Bangor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 65.0% | 22.5% | 12.5% |
| Market | 74.3% | 16.6% | 9.1% |
| Final | 71.9% | 18.1% | 10.0% |
| Edge | -9.3% | +5.9% | +3.4% |
Why Linfield
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.98 vs 0.76.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.28, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Linfield vs Bangor match preview
Linfield enters the match against Bangor with a strong probability of winning at 65%, reflecting their recent form of four consecutive wins and one draw. The expected goals for Linfield stand at 1.98, indicating a solid attacking performance, while Bangor's expected goals are significantly lower at 0.76. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-0, with a 13% chance of occurring.
Bangor, on the other hand, has struggled recently, recording two losses, one win, one draw, and two further losses in their last six matches. Their head-to-head record against Linfield is unfavorable, with Linfield winning all three of their last encounters. The probabilities suggest a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring, indicating a potentially dominant performance from Linfield.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Linfield and Bangor expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.74
Linfield and Bangor attack and defence ratings
Linfield
Bangor
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Linfield vs Bangor markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Linfield | 71.9% | 1.39 | -9.3% | 1.28 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.0% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Linfield win | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Linfield | 71.9% |
| Draw | 18.1% | |
| Bangor | 10.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.8% |
| No | 53.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 28.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Linfield win | 40.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.2% | |
| Loss | 35.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 12.7% |
| 1-0 | 11.8% | |
| 1-1 | 10.7% |
Linfield vs Bangor stats
Linfield and Bangor recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Linfield and Bangor season so far
Linfield record
- They have won 7 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- 57% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Bangor record
- They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Linfield vs Bangor head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-10 | Linfield | Bangor | Irish Cup | 1-0 |
| 2026-01-03 | Linfield | Bangor | Northern Ireland Premiership | 6-1 |
| 2025-11-22 | Bangor | Linfield | Northern Ireland Premiership | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-26 | Bangor | Linfield | Northern Ireland Premiership | 0-3 |
| 2024-07-13 | Bangor | Linfield | Friendlies Clubs | 1-4 |
| 2023-07-29 | Bangor | Linfield | Friendlies Clubs | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Linfield vs Bangor odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 74.3%, draw 16.6%, away 9.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.20 | 5.55 | 10.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.25 | 5.25 | 10.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.18 | 4.33 | 8.00 |
| Betano | 1.28 | 5.10 | 9.00 |
| Betfair | 1.20 | 5.50 | 11.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.26 | 5.80 | 9.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.19 | 5.55 | 10.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.23 | 6.10 | 9.71 |
| William Hill | 1.25 | 5.50 | 10.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .