Linfield
vs
Bangor
2 – 0 Full time
| 27′ | C. McGuinnessA. Mitchell | ||
| 34′ | L. Harrison | ||
| 46′ | G. DeaneP. Solis Grogan | ||
| 54′ | H. Lynch | ||
| 57′ | K. Moore | ||
| 57′ | K. NelsonM. Fitzpatrick | ||
| 63′ | L. HarrisonO. Devlin | ||
| 64′ | Bangor | ||
| 65′ | C. Shields | ||
| 66′ | A. FrizzellD. Wells | ||
| 79′ | B. ArthursJ. Boyd | ||
| 79′ | T. MulvennaL. McRoberts | ||
| 81′ | C. ShieldsS. Brown | ||
| 81′ | E. McGeeJ. Mulgrew | ||
| 90′ | J. Boyd |
Linfield vs Bangor overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Linfield vs Bangor
| Probability | Linfield | Draw | Bangor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 65.0% | 22.4% | 12.5% |
| Market | 74.7% | 16.0% | 9.3% |
| Final | 72.3% | 17.6% | 10.1% |
| Edge | -2.4% | +1.6% | +0.8% |
Why Linfield
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.98 vs 0.76.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Linfield and Bangor expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.74
Linfield and Bangor attack and defence ratings
Linfield
Bangor
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Linfield vs Bangor: result vs prediction
Linfield 2 – 0 Bangor
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Linfield vs Bangor markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Linfield | 72.3% | 1.38 | -2.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.9% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Linfield win | 40.9% | 2.45 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Linfield | 72.3% |
| Draw | 17.6% | |
| Bangor | 10.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.9% |
| No | 53.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 27.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Linfield win | 40.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.2% | |
| Loss | 35.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 12.7% |
| 1-0 | 11.8% | |
| 1-1 | 10.7% |
Linfield vs Bangor stats
Linfield and Bangor recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Linfield and Bangor going into this match
Linfield record
- They have won 7 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- 57% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Bangor record
- They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Linfield vs Bangor head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-10 | Linfield | Bangor | Irish Cup | 1-0 |
| 2026-01-03 | Linfield | Bangor | Northern Ireland Premiership | 6-1 |
| 2025-11-22 | Bangor | Linfield | Northern Ireland Premiership | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-26 | Bangor | Linfield | Northern Ireland Premiership | 0-3 |
| 2024-07-13 | Bangor | Linfield | Friendlies Clubs | 1-4 |
| 2023-07-29 | Bangor | Linfield | Friendlies Clubs | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Linfield vs Bangor odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 74.7%, draw 16.0%, away 9.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.19 | 5.85 | 10.40 |
| Bet365 | 1.25 | 5.25 | 10.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.18 | 4.40 | 8.00 |
| Betano | 1.27 | 5.20 | 9.00 |
| Betfair | 1.20 | 5.00 | 10.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.26 | 5.80 | 9.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.18 | 5.85 | 9.90 |
| Pinnacle | 1.24 | 6.34 | 10.14 |
| William Hill | 1.25 | 5.80 | 10.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .